Hydrologic frequency modeling : proceedings of the International Symposium on Flood Frequency and Risk Analyses, 14-17 May 1986, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, U.S.A.

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Hydrologic frequency modeling : proceedings of the International Symposium on Flood Frequency and Risk Analyses, 14-17 May 1986, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, U.S.A.

edited by Vijay P. Singh

D. Reidel Pub. Co. , Sold and distributed in the U.S.A. and Canada by Kluwer Academic Publishers, c1987

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内容説明

Floods constitute a persistent and serious problem throughout the United States and many other parts of the world. They are respon sible for losses amounting to billions of dollars and scores of deaths annually. Virtually all parts of the nation--coastal, mountainous and rural--are affected by them. Two aspects of the problem of flooding that have long been topics of scientific inquiry are flood frequency and risk analyses. Many new, even improved, techniques have recently been developed for performing these analyses. Nevertheless, actual experience points out that the frequency of say a 100-year flood, in lieu of being encountered on the average once in one hundred years, may be as little as once in 25 years. It is therefore appropriate to pause and ask where we are, where we are going and where we ought to be going with regard to the technology of flood frequency and risk analyses. One way to address these questions is to provide a forum where people from all quarters of the world can assemble, discuss and share their experience and expertise pertaining to flood frequency and risk analyses. This is what constituted the motivation for organizing the International Symposium on Flood Frequency and Risk Analyses held May 14-17, 1986, at Louisiana State University, Bat-on Rouge, Louisiana.

目次

Section 1 Flood Frequency Analysis.- Hydrological and Engineering Relevance of Flood Frequency Analysis.- Statistical Flood Frequency Analysis - An Overview.- Deterministic Nature of Flood Frequencies: Some Observations.- Section 2 Empirical Flood Frequency Models.- Review of Statistical Models for Flood Frequency Estimation.- Estimation of Flood Frequencies by a Nonparametric Density Procedure.- Statistical Models for Flood Frequency Estimation of the Mississippi and Yazoo Rivers.- Partial Duration Series with Log-Normal Distributed Peak Values.- Estimation of a Prior Distribution for the Bayesian Estimation of Pearson III Skews.- Comparison of Flood Frequency Estimates Based on Observed and Model-Generated Peak Flows.- Flood Frequency Analysis Using Box-Cox Transformation based Gumbel EV-1 Distribution.- Flood-Frequency Analysis with Historical Data in China.- Section 3 Mixed Distributions.- Development of a Versatuke Flood Frequency Methodology and its Application to Flood Series from Different Countries.- Hydroclimatically-Defined Mixed Distributions in Partial Duration Flood Series.- Mixed Flood Distributions in Wisconsin.- Flood Data, Underlying Distribution, Analysis and Refinement.- Section 4 Rainfall Frequency Analysis.- Very Low Probability Precipitation - Frequency Estimates - A Perspective.- SQRT-Exponential Type Distribution of Maximum.- On the Probabilistic Characteristics of Point and Areal Rainfall.- Comparison of Three Methods of Estimating Rainfall Frequency Parameters According to the Duration of Accumulation.- Frequency Analysis of Australian Rainfall Data as used for Flood Analysis and Design.- Stochasitc Formulation of Storm Pattern and Rainfall Intensity-Duration Curve for Design Flood.- Rainfall Frequency Studies for Central Saudi Arabia.- Analysis of Flood Occurrence through Characterization of Preciptation Patterns.- The Sampling Theoryo of the Binary Random Field Decides the Relation about the Point and Plane of the Extra Rainstorms.- Section 5 Entropy in Flood Frequency Analysis.- Some New Perspectives on Maximum Entropy Techniques in Water Resources Research.- Entropy and Probability Distributions.- Section 6 Parameter Estimation.- An Evaluation of Seven Methods for Estimating Parameters of EV1 Distribution.- Fitting Log Pearson Type 3 Distribution by Maximum Likelihood.- Estimating the Parameters of the Generalized Gamma Distribution by Mixed Moments.- Entropy Principle in the Estimation of Gumbel Parameters.- Section 7 Selection of Flood Frequency Models.- Assessment of Use of At-Site and Regional Flood Data for Flood Frequency Estimation.- An Empirical Study of Probability Distributions of Annual Maximum Floods.- Comparison of Some Flood Frequency Distributions Using Empirical Data.- Use of Historical Data in Flood Frequency Analysis.- The 1983 Iquacu River Flood - Effect of a Rare Flood on Frequency Analyses.- Analysis of Flood Frequencies in the Cauvery Valley.- Section 8 Multivariate Stochastic Models.- A Multivariate Stochastic Flood Analysis Using Entropy.- Multivariate Partial Duration Series in Flood Risk Analysis.- Another Look at the Joint Probability of Rainfall and Runoff.- A Bivariate Flood Model and its Application.- Analysis and Simulation of Three-Component Floods in the Ohio River Basin.- A Probabilistic Model for Flooding Downstream of the Junction of Two Rivers.- Concurrent Flooding Probabilities.- Bivariate Analysis of Concurrent Flooding.- Author Index.

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