Accelerated life testing and experts' opinions in reliability
著者
書誌事項
Accelerated life testing and experts' opinions in reliability
（Rendiconti della Scuola internazionale di fisica "Enrico Fermi", course 102）
North-Holland : Sole distributors for the USA and Canada, Elsevier Science Pub. Co. , Società Italiana di fisica, 1988
- タイトル別名
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Prove di durata accelerate e opinioni degli esperti in affidabilità
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注記
Title on added t.p.: Prove di durata accelerate e opinioni degli esperti in affidabilità
At head of title: Italian Physical Society = Società Italiana di Fisica
Includes indexes
内容説明・目次
内容説明
Prominent statisticians and reliability experts contributed to this book which is of interest to reliability theoreticians and analysts. The book is divided into two sections: - Experts' Opinions; - Accelerated Life Testing. Section one deals with the following issues: - the axiomatic development of subjective probability and utility; - pooling expert-opinions; - selection models; - the Bayesian definition of exponentiality; - exchangeability in Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA); - influence diagrams as modeling alternative to decision trees. The section also includes a survey of applications of expert judgements in reliability and PSA practice. Section two contains the following: - a comparison of the Bayesian and non-Bayesian approaches; - a presentation of the applications of the Kalman filter; - an analysis of a Bayesian case-study relative to Kevlar/Epoxy spherical pressure vessels.
目次
Introduction. Accelerated life testing and experts' opinion in reliability (D.V. Lindley). Experts' Opinions. Modern aspects of probability and utility (M.H. De Groot). The use of probability statements (D.V. Lindley). Choosing among experts (M.H. De Groot). A Bayesian view of weighted distributions and selection models (M.J. Bayarri and M.H. De Groot). Symmetry conditions on opinion assessment leading to time-transformed exponential models (F. Spizzichino). On the concept of dependence in probabilistic safety analysis and reliability (G. Apostolakis). The use of expert opinion in reliability: a survey (N.D. Singpurwalla and R. Soyer). Expert judgement in probabilistic safety assessment (G. Apostolakis). Expert opinions in software reliability analysis (S. Bologna and C.A. Clarotti). Using influence diagrams (R.E. Barlow). An application of influence diagrams (R.E. Barlow, R.W. Mensing, N.G. Smiriga). Accelerated Life Testing. Non-Bayesian approach to accelerated life testing: a short overview (C.A. Clarotti). Inferences from accelerated life tests. Some recent results (T.A. Mazzuchi and N.D. Singpurwalla). Bayesian design and analysis of accelerated life testing with step stress (M.H. De Groot and P.K. Goel). A Bayesian analysis of the stress-rupture life of Kevlar/epoxy spherical pressure vessels (R.E. Barlow, R.H. Toland and T. Freeman).
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