The future of housing markets : a new appraisal
Author(s)
Bibliographic Information
The future of housing markets : a new appraisal
(Environment, development, and public policy, . Cities and development)
Plenum Press, c1986
Available at 7 libraries
  Aomori
  Iwate
  Miyagi
  Akita
  Yamagata
  Fukushima
  Ibaraki
  Tochigi
  Gunma
  Saitama
  Chiba
  Tokyo
  Kanagawa
  Niigata
  Toyama
  Ishikawa
  Fukui
  Yamanashi
  Nagano
  Gifu
  Shizuoka
  Aichi
  Mie
  Shiga
  Kyoto
  Osaka
  Hyogo
  Nara
  Wakayama
  Tottori
  Shimane
  Okayama
  Hiroshima
  Yamaguchi
  Tokushima
  Kagawa
  Ehime
  Kochi
  Fukuoka
  Saga
  Nagasaki
  Kumamoto
  Oita
  Miyazaki
  Kagoshima
  Okinawa
  Korea
  China
  Thailand
  United Kingdom
  Germany
  Switzerland
  France
  Belgium
  Netherlands
  Sweden
  Norway
  United States of America
Note
Includes bibliographies and index
Description and Table of Contents
Description
This book's title betrays at once that it belongs in the forecast literature. Peering into the future is a notoriously treacherous venture. Nevertheless, it has become a prac- tice endemic to the business and government worlds as well as to academia, especially economics. We like to be- lieve that the enormous growth of forecasting in the face of some disappointments reflects real needs of decision- makers (as well as the general public's well-warranted curiosity about the future). Fashion alone could hardly explain the sustained increase in the market for forecast services during the past few decades. Some professionals insist on fine distinctions be- tween the forecast, the projection, the prediction-and the prophecy. The differences are more semantic than real, as the mandatory resort to Webster confirms. The entry "forecast" includes references to prediction and prophecy without differentiation, while "projection" is defined, among other things, as prediction or "advance estimate." We use mainly the term projections because v PREFACE vi much of our statistical research is based on forward es- timates of population and households by the U.S.
Bu- reau of the Census which the bureau itself, the greatest fountain of data in the world, records as projections.
Table of Contents
1 Introduction.- 2 The Changing Demographic Base of Housing Demand.- Decline of the Young Adult Generation.- Slowing Growth of Households.- The Future Shift to Middle-Aged Household Heads.- Changing Composition of Households.- Appendix A: Technical Detail on the Census Population Projections.- Appendix B: Detailed Data on Adult Population and Households.- Notes.- References.- 3 Socioeconomic Trends Affecting Household Formation.- A Rationale for Discontinuity of Trends.- The "Vital Statistics".- Growth of Women in the Labor Force.- Income as a Determinant of Housing Demand.- Trends in the Ethnic Population Mix.- Appendix C: Data on the Changing Ethnic-Racial Population Mix.- Appendix D: Contributions to Consumer Purchasing Power, 1950-1980.- Notes.- References.- 4 Housing in People's Life Cycle.- Stage I: Entry into the Housing Market-The 25-34 Age Group.- Stage II: The Young Middle-Aged-35-44.- Stage III: The Mature Middle-Aged-45-54.- Stage IV: The Senior Middle-Aged-55-64.- Stage V: The Elderly-Age 65 and Over.- Households, Incomes, Age, and the Affordability Issue.- Does Cohort Size Influence Incomes?.- Appendix E: Detailed Data on Socioeconomic Characteristics of Households by Age of Household Head.- Notes.- References.- 5 The Housing of the Future: Demand Changes and Supply Response.- Quantity versus Quality-The Perennial Alternatives.- The Case for Quality Improvements.- Mechanization of Household Operations.- New Functions of the Dwelling Place.- Root Cause: The Economics of Time.- Main Effect: Increased Value of the Home.- Stagnation of Homeownership.- Future Trends on the Supply Side.- The General Economic Climate.- Appendix F: Detailed Data on Consumer Purchasing Power and on Homeownership.- Notes.- References.
by "Nielsen BookData"