Interregional migration : dynamic theory and comparative analysis
著者
書誌事項
Interregional migration : dynamic theory and comparative analysis
Springer-Verlag, c1988
- : Germany
- : U.S.
大学図書館所蔵 全16件
  青森
  岩手
  宮城
  秋田
  山形
  福島
  茨城
  栃木
  群馬
  埼玉
  千葉
  東京
  神奈川
  新潟
  富山
  石川
  福井
  山梨
  長野
  岐阜
  静岡
  愛知
  三重
  滋賀
  京都
  大阪
  兵庫
  奈良
  和歌山
  鳥取
  島根
  岡山
  広島
  山口
  徳島
  香川
  愛媛
  高知
  福岡
  佐賀
  長崎
  熊本
  大分
  宮崎
  鹿児島
  沖縄
  韓国
  中国
  タイ
  イギリス
  ドイツ
  スイス
  フランス
  ベルギー
  オランダ
  スウェーデン
  ノルウェー
  アメリカ
注記
Bibliography: p. 383-387
内容説明・目次
内容説明
In part I of this book a dynamic migratory model connecting the microlevel of individual migration trends with the macrolevel of interregional migration is developed. Its derivation makes use of the master equation method. Applying a ranking regression analysis, the trend parameters of the model are correlated to regional socio-economic key factors. In part II the model is applied to interregional migration within the countries Federal Republic of Germany, Canada, France, Israel, Italy and Sweden. In part III a comparative analysis of the results is given. In part IV a selfcontained derivation of the master equation and of solutions relevant for the migratory system is given, the ranking regression analysis is exemplified and a computer program for the estimation of trendparameters is added.
目次
I. General Theory.- Synopsis of Part I.- 1 Concepts of the Dynamic Migration Model.- 1.1 Population Configuration and Migration Matrix.- 1.2 The Decision Process.- 1.3 Transition Probabilities as Functions of Dynamic Utilities and Mobilities.- 2 The Migratory Equations of Motion.- 2.1 The Master Equation for the Population Configuration.- 2.2 The Meanvalue Equations.- 2.2.1 Derivation of their General Form.- 2.2.2 Separation of the Birth/Death Processes.- 2.2.3 The Stationary Solution.- 3 The Estimation of Parameters.- 3.1 The Regression Analysis for Trendparameters.- 3.1.1 Log-Linear Estimation of Trendparameters.- 3.1.2 Nonlinear Estimation of Trendparameters.- 3.1.3 Comparison of the Quality of Estimates.- 3.2 The Dependence of Trendparameters on Socio-Economic Key-Factors.- 3.2.1 The Space of Variables.- 3.2.2 The Standard Regression.- 3.2.3 Ranking of Relevance of Key-Factors and Representation of the Utility Vector.- II. Interregional Migration in Individual Countries.- Synopsis of Part II.- 4 Federal Republic of Germany.- 4.1 The Regional System and the Registration of Population and Migration.- 4.1.1 The Division of the Country into Federal States.- 4.1.2 The Volume and Registration of Migration.- 4.1.3 Choice of the Period of Evaluation.- 4.1.4 Assumption of One Homogeneous Population.- 4.1.5 Total Population Growth.- 4.2 Transition Probabilities, Mobilities and Utilities.- 4.2.1 Form of Transition Probabilities.- 4.2.2 Decomposition of the Mobility Matrix.- 4.2.3 Regional Utilities and Preferences.- 4.2.4 Migratory Stress.- 4.3 Choice of Socio-Economic Variables.- 4.3.1 Identification of Influences on the Global Mobility and Utilities.- 4.3.2 Classification of Socio-Economic Variables.- 4.4 Selection of Key-Factors.- 4.4.1 The Key-Factor Analysis of the Global Mobility.- 4.4.2 The Key-Factor Analysis of the Regional Utilities.- 4.4.3 Transition Rates in Terms of Key-Factors.- 5 Canada.- 5.1 Introduction.- 5.1.1 Historical Patterns of Spatial Population Growth.- 5.1.2 Current Patterns of Spatial Population Growth.- 5.1.3 Spatial Differentials in Residual Population Growth.- 5.2 Global Mobility, Utilities and Preferences.- 5.2.1 Global Mobility.- 5.2.2 Regional Utilities.- 5.2.3 Regional Preferences.- 5.2.4 Migration Stress.- 5.3 Socio-Economic Analysis.- 5.3.1 Analysis of the Global Mobility.- 5.3.2 Analysis of the Regional Utilities.- 5.4 Conclusion.- 5.5 Appendix: Tables and Figures.- 6 France.- 6.1 Population and the Regional System.- 6.2 The Data.- 6.3 Evolution of Global Mobility.- 6.4 Regional Utilities.- 6.5 Regional Preferences.- 6.6 Socio-Economic Key-Factors.- 6.7 Comparison with a Gravity Model.- 7 Israel.- 7.1 Introduction.- 7.2 Sources and Limitations of Data.- 7.3 Impact of Internal Migration on Israeli Population Redistribution.- 7.4 Spatial Organization of Temporarily Stable Migration Streams.- 7.5 Global Mobility.- 7.6 Regional Utilities and Preferences.- 7.7 Explanatory Socio-Economic Key-Factors.- 7.8 Concluding Remarks.- 8 Italy.- 8.1 The Study Area.- 8.1.1 Introduction.- 8.1.2 The Country and its Subdivision into Regions.- 8.1.3 Brief Overview of the Italian Demographic Situation and of its Roots.- 8.1.4 Migration Pattern.- 8.2 Design of the Application.- 8.2.1 Choice of the Zoning System.- 8.2.2 Uncertainties of Demographic Input Data.- 8.3 Demographic Trendparameters of Migration.- 8.3.1 Global Mobility.- 8.3.2 Regional Utilities and their Variance.- 8.3.3 Regional Preferences and their Variance.- 8.3.4 Migratory Stress.- 8.4 The Key-Factors of Migration.- 8.4.1 Choice and Availability of Economic Data.- 8.4.2 Key-Factor Analysis of the Global Mobility.- 8.4.3 Key-Factor Analysis of the Regional Utilities.- 8.4.4 A General Concluding Comment.- 9 Sweden.- 9.1 Regional Subdivisions of Sweden.- 9.2 A General Outline of Regional Population Growth in Sweden.- 9.2.1 Historical Trends in Regional Population Development.- 9.2.2 Current Trends in Regional Population Growth.- 9.3 Reasons for Migration.- 9.3.1 Labour Market.- 9.3.2 The Housing Market of Sweden.- 9.4 Regional Utilities, Variance of the Regional Utilities, Regional Preferences and Migratory Stress.- 9.4.1 Regional Utilities.- 9.4.2 Regional Preferences.- 9.4.3 Migratory Stress.- 9.5 Choice of Socio-Economic Variables.- 9.6 Representation of Global Mobility and Regional Utilities in Terms of Key-Factors.- 9.6.1 Representation of the Global Mobility.- 9.6.2 Representation of the Regional Utility.- III. Comparative Studies.- Synopsis of Part III.- 10 Comparative Analysis of Population Evolution Models.- 10.1 Introduction and Survey of Modelling Approaches.- 10.2 Linear Evolution of Age Groups in Regions - Classical Demographic Analysis.- 10.3 Economy and Demography.- 10.3.1 Logistic Evolution.- 10.3.2 Population and Production.- 10.3.3 Models Combining Economic and Demographic Change.- 10.4 Economy, Demography and Migration.- 10.4.1 Logistic Population Growth and Migratory Diffusion.- 10.4.2 Migration and Public Resources.- 10.5 Stochastic Choice Theory and Migration.- 10.6 The Master Equation Approach to Population Analysis.- 10.6.1 Comparison of Two Approaches.- 10.6.2 The Model of this Book and its Relation to Economics.- 11 Comparative Analysis of Interregional Migration.- 11.1 Purposes and Problems of the Comparison of Interregional Migration in Different Countries.- 11.1.1 Interregional Migration and Total Population Evolution.- 11.1.2 Problems in the Choice of Regions.- 11.1.3 General Conclusions from the Comparison of Mobilities and Utilities.- 11.1.4 Problems in the Choice of Comparable Socio-Economic Factors.- 11.2 Comparative Analysis of Quantitative Results.- 11.2.1 Synopsis of Definitions, Tables and Figures.- 11.2.2 Comparative Interpretations: The Global Mobility.- 11.2.3 Regional Utilities and Preferences.- 11.2.4 Migratory Stress.- IV. Mathematical Methods.- Synopsis of Part IV.- 12 Derivation of the Master Equation.- 12.1 Some General Concepts of Probability Theory.- 12.2 The Master Equation.- 12.3 Individual and Configurational Probability Transition Rates.- 13 Solutions of the Master Equation.- 13.1 Detailed Balance.- 13.1.1 Stationary Solution of the Master Equation.- 13.1.2 Proof of Detailed Balance for the Migratory System.- 13.2 The Stationary Solution for the Migratory Master Equation.- 13.3 H-Theorem and Entropy.- 13.4 Time Dependent Solutions.- 14 Tests of Significance in the Ranking Regression Analysis.- 14.1 The Coefficient of Multiple Correlation (R2).- 14.2 The F-Test.- 14.3 The t-Test.- 14.4 The Durbin-Watson Test.- 15 Ranking Regression Analysis of the Global Mobility.- 15.1 The General Procedure.- 15.2 An Explicit Example.- 16 A Computer Program for the Estimation of Utilities and Mobilities.- References.
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