Tourism and regional growth : an empirical study of the alternative growth paths for Hawaii
Author(s)
Bibliographic Information
Tourism and regional growth : an empirical study of the alternative growth paths for Hawaii
(Studies in applied regional science, v. 11)
Martinus Nijhoff Social Sciences Division, 1977
Available at 22 libraries
  Aomori
  Iwate
  Miyagi
  Akita
  Yamagata
  Fukushima
  Ibaraki
  Tochigi
  Gunma
  Saitama
  Chiba
  Tokyo
  Kanagawa
  Niigata
  Toyama
  Ishikawa
  Fukui
  Yamanashi
  Nagano
  Gifu
  Shizuoka
  Aichi
  Mie
  Shiga
  Kyoto
  Osaka
  Hyogo
  Nara
  Wakayama
  Tottori
  Shimane
  Okayama
  Hiroshima
  Yamaguchi
  Tokushima
  Kagawa
  Ehime
  Kochi
  Fukuoka
  Saga
  Nagasaki
  Kumamoto
  Oita
  Miyazaki
  Kagoshima
  Okinawa
  Korea
  China
  Thailand
  United Kingdom
  Germany
  Switzerland
  France
  Belgium
  Netherlands
  Sweden
  Norway
  United States of America
Note
Includes bibliographical references
Description and Table of Contents
Description
The purpose of this study is to analyze the alternative growth paths open to a region under various policies designed to control the growth oftour ism. This is motivated by the current interest of decision-makers in con trolling the growth of tourism. Such interest and any policies which emanate from it may prove detrimental unless a thorough understanding of the consequences of these policies are the foundation upon which the decisions are made. The study consists of four parts, each is written by an author or a group of authors. Thus, while the logical sequence of the parts and the feedbacks among them unify the study, the methodology adopted in each is different, reflecting the diversity and dexterity of forecasting techniques in econo mics. This variety of techniques is desirable in itself as it exposes the reader to some of the alternative approaches. In chapter 1, the theory of regional growth, and in particular the dis tinction between the supply-based and the demand-based models, is dis cussed. The role played by natural resource constraints is shown to be absent from both types of models, and it is argued that this role can be investigated by considering the alternative growth paths available to the region through variations in the rate oftuilization of the resource. To ac complish that, however, a model of regional growth is needed. The empiri cal evidence provided favour a demand-type model. A model of this type is developed and utilized in succeeding parts of the study.
Table of Contents
1. Regional Growth and Resource Constraints.- 1.1. Introduction.- 1.2. Models of regional growth.- 1.2.1. Supply-determined regional growth.- 1.2.2. Demand-determined regional growth.- 1.3. A model of regional growth.- 1.4. Regional growth policy.- 2. The Future of Hawaii's Major Exports.- 2.1. Introduction.- 2.2. Federal government expenditures.- 2.3. Sugar.- 2.4. Pineapple.- 2.5. Tourism.- 2.5.1. Number of visitors.- 2.5.2. Length of stay.- 2.5.3. Visitor expenditures.- 2.6. Conclusions.- 3. Alternative Growth Paths for Hawaii.- 3.1. Introduction.- 3.2. The model.- 3.2.1. Income and employment.- 3.2.2. Population and migration.- 3.3. Distribution models.- 3.3.1. Distribution of income and employment by county.- 3.3.2. Distribution of population by county.- 3.4. Simulation of the impact of policy alternatives.- 3.5. Conclusions.- 4. The Effects of Alternative Growth Paths on Long Run Fiscal Balance.- 4.1. Introduction.- 4.2. Description of alternative growth configurations.- 4.3. Description of state government expenditure methodology.- 4.4. An overview of the sensitivity of expected expenditure growth to workload and price changes.- 4.5. Measurement and projection of program specific price indices.- 4.6. Summary of the results.- 4.7. Summary and interpretation of the simulation results.- 4.8. Impact of debt service growth on expenditure trends.- 4.9. Conclusions.- Appendices.- Appendix A: Definitions of variables and sources of data.- Appendix B: The migration equations.- Appendix C: Methodology for determining demographic and economic characteristics of each growth case.- Appendix D: Identification of workload sensitivity of specific expenditure programs to population changes.
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