Forecasting methods for management

著者

• Makridakis, Spyros G.
• Wheelwright, Steven C.

書誌事項

Forecasting methods for management

Spyros Makridakis, Steven C. Wheelwright

John Wiley, c1989

5th ed

• : pbk

注記

Includes bibliographies and index

内容説明・目次

巻冊次

: pbk ISBN 9780471521884

内容説明

This fifth edition has been thoroughly updated and revised in order to address this broader set of managerial concerns. Through down-to-earth descriptions of forecasting - including the possibilities and limitations and its role in the management process - this book gives the knowledge, tools, and techniques needed to accurately forecast and manage a business future, especially in today's increasingly uncertain business environment.

目次

• The role and importance of forecasting in management: forecasting and management: an introduction
• the need for, and role of, forecasting
• what can and cannot be predicted
• quantitative forecasting methods: introduction to quantitative forecasting methods
• smoothing methods
• decomposition methods for time-series forecasting
• autoregressive/moving average (ARMA) methods
• simple regression methods
• multiple regression
• econometric modelling
• forecasting challenges - explaining the past versus predicting the future
• judgmental approaches to forecasting
• biases and limitations in judgmental methods
• monitoring approaches
• selecting appropriate and quantitative methods
• integrating judgmental and quantitative methods
• technological and environmental forecasting
• forecasting applications - the use of forecasting in business organizations
• forecasting the short term
• forecasting the medium term
• forecasting the long term
• support tools for quantitative forecasting: data development and computers
• achieving forecasting's full potential.

巻冊次

ISBN 9780471600633

内容説明

Here is a new edition of the standard management forecasting book in the field. Since the first edition appeared in 1973, this work has been translated into ten languages. This edition presents a broad range of forecasting techniques and their practical application, with discussion of each method's strengths and weaknesses. New chapters reflect recent developments in forecasting approaches and tools, and address the role of forecasting in the management process.

目次

• Part 1 The role and importance of forecasting in management: forecasting and management - an introduction
• the need for, and role of, forecasting
• what can and cannot be predicted. Part 2 quantitative forecasting methods - introduction to quantitative forecasting methods
• smoothing methods
• decomposition methods for time-series forecasting
• autoregressive/moving average (ARMA) methods
• simple regression methods
• multiple regression
• econometric modeling. Part 3 Forecasting challenges: explaining the past versus predicting the future
• judgmental approaches to forecasting
• biases and limitations in judgmental methods
• monitoring approaches
• selecting appropriate and quantitative methods
• integrating judgmental and quantitative methods
• technological and environmental forecasting. Part 4 Forecasting applications: the use of forecasting in business organizations
• forecasting the short term
• forecasting the medium term
• forecasting the long term
• support tools for quanti

「Nielsen BookData」 より

詳細情報

• NII書誌ID(NCID): BA07289741
• ISBN:
  • 0471600636
  • 0471521884
• LCCN: 88026178
• 出版国コード: us
• タイトル言語コード: eng
• 本文言語コード: eng
• 出版地: New York
• ページ数/冊数: x, 470 p.
• 大きさ: 23-24 cm
• 分類:
  • LCC : HD30.27
  • DC19 : 658.4/0355
• 件名:
  • LCSH : Economic forecasting
  • LCSH : Economic forecasting -- Methodology
  • LCSH : Business forecasting