Advances in decision research : selected Proceedings of the 11th Conference on subjective probability, utility and decision making, Cambridge, UK, August 23-27, 1987

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書誌事項

Advances in decision research : selected Proceedings of the 11th Conference on subjective probability, utility and decision making, Cambridge, UK, August 23-27, 1987

editors, Bernd Rohrmann ... [et al.]

North-Holland , Elsevier Science Pub. Co. [distributor], 1989

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注記

"Reprinted from the journal Acta psychologica, vol. 68, 1988" -- T.p. verso

Includes bibliographies and index

内容説明・目次

内容説明

These papers stem from a biennial conference which constitutes an international and interdisciplinary forum for scientists dealing with modeling, analyzing and aiding decision processes. The contributions in the first part offer criticisms and challenges for the study of human decision making and the design of valid decision-support methods, programs or systems. The second part presents formal models and empirical analyses of human decision behavior in group situations, connecting perspectives and paradigms from decision theory, game theory and social psychology. The third section examines the practical limits and strengths in the application of decision analysis. The following section is devoted to prescription: How shall we design computer systems to help decision makers? The last group of papers are instructive examples of problem oriented research, exploring the utility of decision research for the analysis of "real" decision processes.

目次

Conceptualizing and Interpreting Decision, Choice and Uncertainty. A Phenomenological Psychological Study of Decision and Choice (G. Karlsson). The Language of Uncertainty (K.H. Teigen). Understanding and Using Linguistic Uncertainties (T.S. Wallsten, D.V. Budescu, I. Erev). Modelling Uncertainty and Inductive Inference: A Survey of Recent Non-Additive Probability Systems (D. Dubois, H. Prade). Group Decision Making: Research on Social Dilemmas and Cooperation. Not Me or Thee But We: The Importance of Group Identity in Eliciting Cooperation in Dilemma Situations: Experimental Manipulations (R.M. Dawes, A.J.C. van de Kragt, J.O. Orbell). Environmental and Social Uncertainty in Single-Trail Resource Dilemmas (R. Sulieman, A. Rapoport). New Approaches in Research on Cooperative Conflict Resolution by Group Decision (W.H. Tack). Multi-Attribute Decision Analysis: Some Limits and Some Strengths . Limits and Extensions of Equal Weights in Additive Multi-Attribute Models (F.H. Barron). The Effects of Varying Value Trees on Multi-Attribute Evaluations (K. Borcherding, V. von Winterfeldt). Systematic Research into Human Behavior in Multi-Attribute Object Classification Problems (O.I. Larichev, H.M. Moshkovich, S.B. Rebrik). Decision Difficulty and Imprecise Preferences (D. Butler, G. Loomes). Experts and Expert Systems for Decision Making. Psychological Characteristics and Strategies of Expert Decision Makers (J. Shanteau). Concepts and Tools of Artificial Intelligence for Human Decision Making (A. Vari, J. Vecsenyi). Some Issues in Designing and Expert System for Multiple Criteria Decision Making (V.M. Ozernoy). Robust Interactive Decision-Analysis (P.Y. Chu, H. Moskowitz, R.T. Wong). Knowledge Engineering Techniques for Utility Identification (V. Rajovic, M. Bohanec, V. Batagelj). Applied Decision Research: Political and Environmental Issues. Applied Decision Research and Environmental Policy (J. van der Pligt). People's Recognition of Political Decision Arguments (I.N. Gallhofer, W.E. Saris, M. Schellekens). An Experimental Study of Cognitive Processes and Information in Political Problem Solving (H.E. Purkitt, J.W. Dyson). Judgment and Hazard Adaptation: A Longitudinal Study of Responses to the Risks of Water Contamination (H. Cvetkovic, T.C. Earle). Risk Assessment and Accident Analysis (N.F. Pidgeon).

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