Deterrence and defence in a post-nuclear world

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Deterrence and defence in a post-nuclear world

Gary L. Guertner

Macmillan, 1990

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内容説明

Emerging technologies are producing conventional military forces of unprecedented lethality. No trend is more predictable given the imperatives of military strategy and the inexorable pace of technology. These trends are driven by a simple truth. Powerful nations must eventually base their military strategies on weapons that can be used. This overwhelmingly simple strategic logic will push us into the post-nuclear era. The process has been underway for at least two decades in the form of evolving Soviet and American strategies that have sought usable military options in the nuclear age. Trends toward non-nuclear options will accelerate dramatically in the next decade as a result of technology, arms control, and the impossibility of marrying nuclear deterrence and nuclear war fighting in one coherent doctrine. The author raises questions of direct relevance to the current NATO debate .. he reminds us of the changes that have taken place in the Atlantic relationship and suggests problems as well as opportunities for new strategic thinking created by the renewed interest in arms control'

目次

  • Part 1 Obstacles to conventional deterrence: flexible response in Europe
  • convergence of flexible response and forward defence
  • the American efforts to structure flexible response
  • the requirements for conventional deterrence. Part 2 Deterrence Soviet style: offensive defence
  • Stalin's conventional defence - back to the future?
  • the legacy of Stalin
  • Khrushchev - strategic bluff or peripheral strategy? the Brezhnev period - the origins of flexible options
  • flexible response since Brezhnev
  • the shrinking Soviet nuclear umbrella - cover thyself
  • reasonable sufficiency - revolution or ruse? Part 3 Soviet incentives for conventional deterrence: strategic implications of the nationalities
  • implications for US strategy. Part 4 Arms control - can we make this trip with the Russians?: the charges of noncompliance
  • the evidence
  • the military significance of noncompliance issues. Part 5 A post-nuclear world - the unfinished agenda: arms control strategy and nuclear modernization - shaping deterrence stability
  • Soviet strategic modernization after START
  • shaping strategy and targeting policies for deterrence stability
  • strategic stability and conventional deterrence.

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