Strategic defences in the 1990s : criteria for deployment
著者
書誌事項
Strategic defences in the 1990s : criteria for deployment
(Studies in international security, 30)
Macmillan in association with the International Institute for Strategic Studies, 1991
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内容説明・目次
内容説明
Despite the end of the Cold War, the issue of strategic missile defences will not go away in the 1990s. The Soviet Union will continue to retain thousands of nuclear missiles. Political turmoil may increase the chance of missiles being launched by rogue military leaders without proper political authorization. And Third World leaders are increasingly acquiring nuclear and chemical means of mass destruction as well as the ballistic missiles to carry them over long distances. Some have argued that these developments render the deployment of strategic defences more important than ever. This book evaluates this claim. It develops strategic, technical, and economic criteria for judging the value of deploying strategic defences. A detailed analysis of three specific strategic defence deployment options reveals that the deployment of strategic defences in the 1990s is unlikely to be strategically desirable, technically feasible, or economically affordable.
目次
- Part 1 Deployment criteria for strategic defences: strategic desirability - deterrence, strategic stability, arms control
- technical feasibility - effectiveness, survivability
- economic affordability - opportunity costs, cost-effectiveness in relation to alternative, cost-effectiveness at the margin. Part 2 An accidental launch protection system: evaluation - strategic desirability, technical feasibility, economic affordability. Part 3 A ground-based defence of military targets: evaluation - strategic desirability, the impact of US ground-based defences on deterrence, the impact of mutual ground-based defences on deterrence, the impact of ground-based defences on stability and arms control
- technical feasibility
- economic affordability. Part 4 A phase-one strategic defence system: strategic desirability - the impact of a phase-1 defence on deterrence, the impact of a phase-1 defence on strategic stability, the impact of a phase-1 defence on arms control. Part 5 Strategic defence research in the 1990s.
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