Analysis and management of uncertainty : theory and applications

Bibliographic Information

Analysis and management of uncertainty : theory and applications

edited by Bilal M. Ayyub, Madan M. Gupta, Laveen N. Kanal

(Machine intelligence and pattern recognition, v. 13)

North-Holland , Distributors for the U.S. and Canada, Elsevier Science Pub. Co., 1992

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Includes bibliographical references and indexes

Description and Table of Contents

Description

Topics in this book range from mathematical theories to probabilistic analysis of structures in civil engineering. Mathematical background is first covered including: probabilistic and possibilistic conceptualization of uncertainty, the algebraic structure of conditional reasoning, uncertainty modeling in anticipatory systems, reasoning by hypothesizing causal models, fuzzy sets and truth functionality. The second part deals with expert systems and neuronal structures and includes papers on expert appraisement and counter-appraisement with experton processes, the management of uncertainty, transferable belief models for expert judgement, fuzzy neural expert systems, and inverse dynamic adaptive control. Of particular interest is the last section which deals with applications in engineering. The articles presented here show just how far this field has progressed from theory to practice. They deal with such topics as the prediction of earthquake ground motion and structural responses, bridge ratings, safety and reliability evaluations of transmission lines, and transportation.

Table of Contents

I. Uncertainty: Theoretical Basis. Intelligence, Uncertainty and Information (M.M. Gupta). Probabilistic Versus Possibilistic Conceptualization of Uncertainty (G.J. Klir). Induction and Uncertainty in Synergetic Computing Systems (P.A. Ligomenides). Algebraic Structure of Conditional Reasoning (H.T. Nguyen). Belief Logic Systems (Y.Y. Chen). Fuzzy Set Theory, Probability Theory, and Truth Functionality (V.M. Bier). Uncertainty Modeling in Anticipatory Systems (L. Tsoukalas, A. Ikonomopoulos). Reasoning by Hypothesizing Causal Models (R. Bhatnagar, L.N. Kanal). II. Expert Systems and Neuronal Structures. Expert Appraisements and Counter-Appraisements with Experton Processes (A. Kaufmann). An Approach to the Management of Uncertainty in Expert Systems (Z.-F. Li, Y.-M. Liu). A Walk Through Fuzzy Relations and Their Application to Information Retrieval, Medical Diagnosis and Expert Systems (E.E. Kerre). LIFE Fuzzy Expert System Shell (T. Miyoshi, H. Koyama, S. Fukami, T. Takagi, M. Umano). The Transferable Belief Model for Expert Judgments (Ph. Smets). Fuzzy Neural Expert System with Automated Extraction of Fuzzy If-Then Rules from a Trained Neural Network (Y. Hayashi). Fuzzy Neural Network Approach to Control Systems (M.M. Gupta, G.K. Knopf). The Mechanism of Fuzzy Logic Controllers (Z. Cao, A. Kandel, L. Li, J. Han). Grasping 2-D Irregularly Moving Object Using Fuzzy Controlled Arm Robot (K. Hirota, H. Watanabe). Inverse-Dynamics Adaptive Control (IDAC): A Neuronal Structure to Control Systems with Parameter Uncertainties (M.M. Gupta, D.H. Rao, H.C. Wood). III. Applications to Engineering Systems. Generalized Treatment of Uncertainties in Structural Engineering (B.M. Ayyub). Uncertainties in Risk-Based Inspection of Complex Systems (A. Ibrahim, B.M. Ayyub). Real Time Prediction of Earthquake Ground Motions and Structural Responses by Statistics and Fuzzy Logic (H. Kawamura, A. Tani, M. Yamada). An Engineering Approach to Subjective Uncertainty in Bridge Ratings (A. Miyamoto, H. Morikawa, M. Kushida). Multiobjective Decision Making with Fuzzy Problems for Infrastructure Investment Planning: A Case of Transportation Investment (G.-H. Tzeng, J.-Y. Teng). A Random-Fuzzy Reliability Analysis of Engineering Systems (R.K. Reddy, A. Haldar). Fuzzy-Based Real-Time Control of Construction Activities (M.H.M. Hassan, B.M. Ayyub, L. Bernold). Bayesian Assessment of Modeling Uncertainties: Application to Fire Risk Assessment (N.O. Siu, D. Karydas, J. Temple). Probabilistic Analysis of Structures with Vague Failure Modes (I.A. Alvi, K.-L. Lai, B.M. Ayyub). Safety and Reliability Evaluation of Existing Transmission Lines Using Fuzzy Set Theory (I. Hathout). Optimizing Residential Photovoltaic System Size Using Approximate Reasoning (D.F. Macomber). Entropy-Based Subjective Modification in the Evaluation of Existing Structures (A. Haldar, R.K. Reddy). Contributors Index. Subject Index.

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