Cyclical growth in market and planned economies
著者
書誌事項
Cyclical growth in market and planned economies
Clarendon Press , Oxford University Press, 1992
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注記
Includes bibliographical references and index
内容説明・目次
内容説明
This book aims to present a comprehensive approach for analyzing and explaining economic fluctuations developed by the editor and his associates at the University of Munich over the last two decades. The approach is distinct from both Keynesianism and Real Business Cycle Theory - the dominant macroeconomic paradigms of recent decades, and is representative of an alternative: the Disequilibrium Theory of cyclical growth. Following the methodology of the natural sciences, the book emphasizes the need for determining the stylized facts of economic fluctuations independently of the explanatory models. New methods for analyzing short economic time series are employed. An analysis of data for 15 OECD countries reveals that most of the fluctuations take the form of quasi-periodic investment cycles. Structural econometric models for explaining these cycles are successfully tested using data for the UK, USA, and Germany. The book also contains the contributions of a group of Hungarian economists who independently discovered and explained investment cycles in the socialist economies. These cycles bear a surprising resemblance to those of the market economies.
This book should be of interest to academic economists and graduate students of macroeconomics, business cycles, comparative systems, methodology, and history of economic thought.
目次
- Part I: Evolution of Doctrine and Methodology: C. Hillinger: Paradigm change and scientific method in the study of economic fluctuations
- C. Hillinger: The methodology of empirical science
- Part II: Economic Fluctuations in Market Economies: C. Hillinger & M. Sebold-Bender: The stylized facts of macroeconomic fluctuations
- C. Hillinger & M. Reiter: The quantitative and qualitative explanations of macroeconomic investment and production cycles
- Part III: Economic Fluctuations in Planned Economies: A. Chikan: Inventory cycles in Hungary
- A. Brody: Gestation lags and the explanation of investment cycles in socialist economies
- T.G. Tarjan: Macroeconomic fluctuations based on gestation lags: A formal analysis
- Part IV: Microeconomic Foundations: C. Hillinger, M. Reiter, & T. Weser: Micro foundations of the second-order accelerator and of cyclical behaviour
- R. Weser: The aggregation problem for economic cycles.
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