CiNii Books - Eastern Europe's international trade

This book explores the questions raised by the liberalization of Eastern Europe. It provides a model of world trade to assess the potential for Eastern Europe's trade growth, which it shows to be very substantial. It looks at EC trade policy in a number of industries and examines the agreements currently in force between the EC and Eastern Europe. These are shown not to go far enough towards liberalizing trade. It then looks at Eastern Europe's comparative advantage by examining the development of human capital which it shows to be higher in parts of Eastern Europe than income levels would suggest, and also by examination of one industry in detail. It shows how parts of the Polish clothing sector are adapting to new opportunities and examines their capacity for further export growth.

Table of Contents

Part 1 Introduction and summary: background
the volume and direction of trade
the Europe agreements
the composition of exports
conclusion. Part 2 Eastern Europe's potential trade: the gravity model - the implications of the gravity model, the theory of the gravity model
the data
the application of the gravity model - the estimates, East European trade, alternative estimates, the implications for the west. Part 3 The Europe agreements - with a little help from our friends: title III - free movement of goods - coverage, antidumping and safeguard, rules of orign, CEEC liberalization, the implications
title IV - workers, establishment and services
TITLE V - payments, competition and the approximation of laws
TITLE VI - economic co-operation
TITLE VIII - financial co-operation. Part 4 Quantifying the effects of the Europe agreements - three case studies: the simulation model - markets and suppliers, the model, calibration, simulating trade liberalization
iron and steel - EC trade policy on iron and steel, the model, liberalizing imports from Eastern Europe, changing demand, a steel cartel
clothing - EC trade policy on clothing, modelling trade policy, liberalization
footwear - the structure of the model, the data, liberalizing imports from the CEECs. Part 5 Eastern Europe's comparative advantage - the role of human capital: the stock of human capital
Eastern European schooling - the Hungarian and Polish education systems, school science scores and skill levels, comparative advantage, Hungary and Poland
secondary education and economic development. Part 6 Export potential - a case-study of clothing: the survey
production - the pattern of production, employment and production conditions, financial standing, cost structure and productivity
export performance - the export share in 1989, the growth of exports, successful exporters, trade barriers. Part 7 Appendices: the gravity model and China
the elasticity of demand.

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Eastern Europe's international trade

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