The explanatory power of business cycle surveys : papers presented at the 21st CIRET Conference proceedings, Stellenbosch, 1993

書誌事項

The explanatory power of business cycle surveys : papers presented at the 21st CIRET Conference proceedings, Stellenbosch, 1993

edited by Karl Heinrich Oppenländer, Günter Poser

Avebury, c1994

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注記

Includes bibliographical references

内容説明・目次

内容説明

The 21st CIRET Conference was held in Somerset West, near Cape Town, about six months before the new constitutional elections were scheduled for South Africa. Because of this historically important event, the conference participants were informed about the economic and political problems of the country by Servaas van der Berg and Hennie Kotze, from the University of Stellenbosch. Short versions of their papers are included in this volume as well as the address of Ockie Stuart, director of the Bureau for Economic Research at the University of Stellenbosch. As in previous CIRET conferences, presentations of new research results included surveys on innovation, investment and consumption; forecasts based on survey data; and the use of surveys in econometric models. The conference closed with a plenary session on the provocative topic that the indicator approach is "measurement without theory".

目次

  • Plenary session - the economic problems of South Africa in perspective
  • explanatory power of indicators
  • forecasts based on survey data (Part 1)
  • innovation surveys
  • forecasts based on survey data (Part 2)
  • investment surveys
  • consumer surveys
  • tendency surveys and econometric models (Part 1)
  • business cycle surveys about economies in transition (part 1)
  • indicators of competitiveness and inflation
  • regional tests/national accounts
  • Tendency surveys and econometric models (Part 2)
  • business cycle surveys about economies in transition (part 2)
  • plenary session - measurement without theory.

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