Decisions by the numbers : an introduction to quantitative techniques for public policy analysis and management

著者

書誌事項

Decisions by the numbers : an introduction to quantitative techniques for public policy analysis and management

Dipak K. Gupta

Prentice Hall, c1994

  • no disk
  • IBM 3-1/2
  • IBM 5-1/4
  • Mac 3-1/2

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注記

Includes bibliographical references and indexes

内容説明・目次

内容説明

Focusing on the fields of public administration and public policy, this text makes some difficult concepts in the fields of statistics and operations research accessible to students with no particular mathematical background. A systematic approach to problem-solving, it discusses a wide range of tools, from simple to highly sophisticated, including the use of the computer in solving analytical problems. It shows that quantitative techniques, however complicated and esoteric, are in fact extensions of generally agreed-upon thinking.

目次

  • Questions, questions!
  • descriptive statistics and probability theory
  • source of data
  • making sense of numbers
  • projection techniques - inadequacy of history, analysis of historical data, the method of least squares
  • methods of causal prediction - multiple regression
  • how can we manage a large project?
  • problems of inventory and cash management
  • elements of social choice - benefit-cost analysis
  • choosing the best alternative - the benefit-cost analysis
  • choosing the optimal mix - linear programming
  • the elements of strategic thinking - decision tree and game theory
  • queuing theory and simulation
  • decisions by the numbers
  • problems and few solutions.

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