Subjective probability

書誌事項

Subjective probability

edited by George Wright and Peter Ayton

Wiley, c1994

この図書・雑誌をさがす
注記

Includes bibliographical references and index

内容説明・目次

内容説明

This overview of subjective probability ranges from discussion of the philosophy of axiom systems through studies in the psychological laboratory to the real world of business decision-making. The multidisciplinary nature of this volume - which includes authorities who are psychologists, philosophers, statisticians, management scientists, educationalists and corporate planners - illustrates the essentially human challenge of this project.

目次

  • Qualitative Theory of Subjective Probability
  • Probability, Uncertainty and the Practice of Statistics
  • The Subjective Aspect of Probability
  • On the Necessity of Probability Reasons to Believe and Grounds for Doubt
  • Laboratory Studies of Subjective Probability
  • Why the Distinction Between Single-Event Probabilities and Frequencies is Important for Psychology and Vice Versa
  • Subjective Probability: What Should We Believe
  • Applying and Cognitive Perspective to Probability Construction
  • Variants of Subjective Probabilities
  • The Origins of Probability Judgement.

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