Wise choices : decisions, games, and negotiations

書誌事項

Wise choices : decisions, games, and negotiations

edited by Richard J. Zeckhauser, Ralph L. Keeney, James K. Sebenius

Harvard Buiness School Press, c1996

大学図書館所蔵 件 / 26

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注記

Includes bibliographical references and index

内容説明・目次

内容説明

This text provides an analysis of state-of-the-art research on decision-making, game theory and negotiation. The papers address such decisions as personal medical problems, national public policies, business investments and international diplomacy.

目次

  • Part 1 Decision analysis. Part 2 Interpretation of information: contrasting rational and psychological principles of choice
  • sign-posting - the selective revelation of product information
  • normative validity of graphical aids for estimation studies. Part 3 Valuation: valuing billions of dollars
  • options
  • measuring risk and return for portfolios
  • the upside and downside
  • does society mismanage risk
  • global decisions for the very long term - intergenerational and international discounting. Part 4 Applications: decision analysis in health and medicine - two decades of progress and challenges
  • optimizing the prenatal detection of Down's syndrome - a decision analytic economic policy analysis
  • expected values of information and co-operation for abating global climate change.

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