Wise choices : decisions, games, and negotiations

書誌事項

Wise choices : decisions, games, and negotiations

edited by Richard J. Zeckhauser, Ralph L. Keeney, James K. Sebenius

Harvard Buiness School Press, c1996

この図書・雑誌をさがす
注記

Includes bibliographical references and index

内容説明・目次

内容説明

This text provides an analysis of state-of-the-art research on decision-making, game theory and negotiation. The papers address such decisions as personal medical problems, national public policies, business investments and international diplomacy.

目次

  • Part 1 Decision analysis. Part 2 Interpretation of information: contrasting rational and psychological principles of choice
  • sign-posting - the selective revelation of product information
  • normative validity of graphical aids for estimation studies. Part 3 Valuation: valuing billions of dollars
  • options
  • measuring risk and return for portfolios
  • the upside and downside
  • does society mismanage risk
  • global decisions for the very long term - intergenerational and international discounting. Part 4 Applications: decision analysis in health and medicine - two decades of progress and challenges
  • optimizing the prenatal detection of Down's syndrome - a decision analytic economic policy analysis
  • expected values of information and co-operation for abating global climate change.

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