Economic fluctuations and forecasting
Author(s)
Bibliographic Information
Economic fluctuations and forecasting
（The HarperCollins series in economics）
HarperCollins College Publishers, c1996
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Note
Includes bibliographical references and index
Description and Table of Contents
Description
By explaining how, by how much, and why economies fluctuate during different stages of the business cycle, Economic Fluctuations and Forecasting teaches students how to use, interpret, and make macroeconomic forecasts while showing them the advantages and shortcomings of various forecasting methods. Su reviews the procedures used to construct econometric models and their general applications, such as sensitivity studies and policy simulations, with an emphasis on empirical evidence. Su also examines the part played historically by business cycles in the U.S. and the different theories that explain these cycles.
Table of Contents
1. Introduction.
I. MACROECONOMIC DATA.
2. Decomposition and Analysis of Time Series.
3. Economic Data and Data Sources.
4. Economic Indicators: Measuring Economic Performance.
II. REVIEWS OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS.
5. A Review of Macroeconomics.
6. A Review of Estimation Methods.
III. BUSINESS CYCLES.
7. Economic Fluctuation and Business Cycles.
8. Applications of Econometric Models I: Sensitivity Studies and Simulations.
9. Economic Fluctuations and Business Cycles II: A Simulation Approach.
IV. ECONOMIC FORECASTING.
10. Forecasting, Naive Methods, and Single-Equation Models.
11. Noneconometric Forecasts.
12. Applications of Econometric Models II: Forecasting, Scenarios, and Optimal Control.
13. Applications of Econometric Models III: Regional Models and International Linkages.
14. Time-Series Models: Types and Properties.
15. Time-Series Models: Modeling and Forecasting.
16. The Appraisal of Forecasts.
by "Nielsen BookData"
