Elements of forecasting
著者
書誌事項
Elements of forecasting
South-Western College, c1998
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注記
Includes bibliographical references (p. 375-383) and index
内容説明・目次
内容説明
A concise, modern survey of forecasting methods for business and economics which focuses on the core techniques of widest applicability and assumes only an elementary background in statistics. The book is applications-oriented and illustrates all methods with detailed examples and case studies.
目次
- Part 1 Getting started: introduction to forecasting - applications, methods, books, journals and software
- six considerations basic to successful forecasting. Part 2 Building, using and evaluating forecasting models
- statistical graphics for forecasting
- modelling and forecasting trend
- modelling and forecasting seasonality
- characterizing cycles
- modelling cycles - MA, AR and ARMA models
- forecasting cycles
- putting it all together - a forecasting model with trend, seasonal and cyclical components
- unit roots, stochastic trends, ARIMA forecasting models, and smoothing
- forecasting with regression models
- evaluating and combining forecasts.
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