Trade shocks in developing countries

著者

書誌事項

Trade shocks in developing countries

[edited by] Paul Collier and Jan Willem Gunning and associates

Oxford University Press, 1999

  • v. 1
  • v. 2

大学図書館所蔵 件 / 全21件

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注記

v. 1. Africa -- v. 2. Asia and Latin America

Includes bibliographical references and indexes

内容説明・目次

巻冊次

v. 1 ISBN 9780198293385

内容説明

Developing countries frequently experience trade shocks and the policy implications of this have been debated for decades.This important book is Volume 1 of a comparative study covering 23 countries, using a common methodology to estimate the effects of shocks. The conventional wisdom has been that private agents, in particular peasant farmers, could not be trusted to use windfalls wisely. This was, and continues to be, the main rationale for stabilising taxation of export crops. The convention was also that windfalls accruing to the public sector were a bane since governments had low savings rates. The evidence in this definitive study supports neither generalisation. Trade shocks typically lead to high savings rates, irrespective of whether they accrue to private producers or to the government. However, the case studies find substantial policy errors so that windfalls are often not translated efficiently into permanent income increases and indeed often lead to a reduction in output. The studies argue for a drastic revision of the case for government action in response to trade shocks. Volume 1 deals with Africa, Volume 2 with Asia and Latin America.

目次

  • 1. Trade Shocks: Theory and Evidence
  • 2. Anatomy of a Temporary Trade Shock: the Kenyan Coffee Boom, 1976-79
  • 3. Ghana's Management of a Temporary Windfall: The Cocoa Boom of 1976-77
  • 4. The Ivorian Cocoa and Coffee Boom of 1976-79: The End of a Miracle?
  • 5. Malwi's Positive Trade Shock, 1977-79
  • 6. Private and Public Sector Responses to the Sugar Boom in Mauritius, 1972-75
  • 7. The Groundnut and Phosphates Boom in Sengal, 1974-77
  • 8. The Zambia Coffee Boom and Crash, 1964-80
  • 9. The Diamond Boom, Expectations, and Economic Management in Botswana
  • 10. The Uranium Boom in Niger, 1975-82
  • 11. Cameroon
  • 12. Trade Shock, Oil Boom, and the Nigerian Economy, 1973-83
  • 13. Multiple Trade Shocks and Partial Liberalization: Dutch Disease and the Egyptian Economy
巻冊次

v. 2 ISBN 9780198294634

内容説明

Developing countries frequently experience trade shocks and the policy implications of this have been debated for decades.This important book is Volume 2 of a comparative study covering 23 countries, using a common methodology to estimate the effects of shocks. The conventional wisdom has been that private agents, in particular peasant farmers, could not be trusted to use windfalls wisely. This was, and continues to be, the main rationale for stabilising taxation of export crops. The convention was also that windfalls accruing to the public sector were a bane since governments had low savings rates. The evidence in this definitive study supports neither generalisation. Trade shocks typically lead to high savings rates, irrespective of whether they accrue to private producers or to the government. However, the case studies find substantial policy errors so that windfalls are often not translated efficiently into permanent income increases and indeed often lead to a reduction in output. The studies argue for a drastic revision of the case for government action in response to trade shocks. Volume 1 deals with Africa, Volume 2 with Asia and Latin America.

目次

  • 1. One Decade of External Coffee Shocks in Colombia, 1975-85
  • 2. Costa Rica: Mismanagement of the Coffee Boom
  • 3. Bolivia's Tin and National Gas Crises of 1985-89
  • 4. Dealing with Negative Oil Shocks: The Venezuelan Experience in the 1980s
  • 5. The Mexican Oil Boom, 1977-85
  • 6. Thailand: Trade Shocks and Domestic Responses
  • 7. Temporary Trade Shocks, Consumption Smoothing, and Economic Adjustment: Sri Lanka, 1973-76
  • 8. The Impact of Temporary Trade Shocks on an Economy in Disequilibrium: The Philippines, 1985-89
  • 9. The Remittance Boom in Bangladesh, 1978-86
  • 10. An Evaluation of the 197985 Petroleum Boom in Malaysia
  • 11. Indonesia: Trade Shocks and Construction Booms
  • Index

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