International futures : choices in the face of uncertainty

書誌事項

International futures : choices in the face of uncertainty

Barry B. Hughes

(Dilemmas in world politics)

Westview Press, 1999

3rd ed

  • : pbk

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注記

Bibliography : p. 197-201

Includes index

内容説明・目次

内容説明

Fully updated and including an expanded and extensive Windows computer simulation, this unique text/disk combination provides a survey of alternative futures in international relations. By manipulating a wide range of variables in major countries and geographical regions students can generate a limitless number of future scenarios in the areas of demographics, food, energy, the environment, economics, and sociopolitical systems. This edition has added capability for display of data and forecasts, has introduced extensive historical data and analysis capability, has extended the time horizon of forecasts, and has extensively expanded the Help system of the model. Complete with tables, flowcharts, feedback loops, computer notes, and research suggestions, the text and simulation allows students to transcend the usual level of speculation about the future by moving to an empirically grounded, values-based consideration of issues, strategies, and outcomes. This edition places a special emphasis on the environemnt, which has emerged as one of the most important areas in international relations.

目次

* Action in the Face of Uncertainty * Global Change * Using IFs to Investigate Change * Causal Understandings and Scenarios * Population * Economics * Food and Agriculture * Energy * The Environment * Domestic Social and Political Systems * The Global Sociopolitical System * Preferred Futures

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