Fossil fuels in a changing climate : impacts of the Kyoto Protocol and developing country participation
著者
書誌事項
Fossil fuels in a changing climate : impacts of the Kyoto Protocol and developing country participation
Oxford University Press, 2000
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注記
"The work for this book was undertaken at the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies (OIES) in co-operation with the Center for International Climate and Environmental Research in Oslo (CICERO) over the period of one year beginning in March 1999." -- Introd.
Includes index
内容説明・目次
内容説明
This volume assesses the effects on the fossil fuel markets of climate change policies. The timespan covered is to the year 2020, and the projections are based on a global economic-environmental simulation model developed by the authors. This model produces projections for global emissions, quantities and prices of fossil fuels and other commodities. Three scenarios are constructed for a world with and without implementation of climate change agreements. These are: the baseline case, Business as Usual, which describes a world which does not adopt specific measures directed against greenhouse gas emissions; Kyoto, which assumes that the Kyoto Protocol is successfully implemented; and the Ambitious Scenario, which postulates that after the first commitment period specified in the Kyoto Protocol (2008-12), a new, more ambitious climate change agreement with targets for developing countries is adopted.
目次
- Summary and conclusions. Part 1
- 1: Production Capacity and Supplies for Oil, Natural Gas, and Coal
- 2: Energy Efficiency and Technology
- 3: The OIES Model for Climate Policy Analysis
- Part 2: The Business as Usual Scenario
- 1: A World Without Climate Change Measures
- Part 3: The Kyoto Scenario
- 1: The Kyoto Protocol
- 2: The `Kyoto Base' Scenario: Description
- 3: The `Kyoto Base' Scenario: Implications
- 4: The Impact of Specific Policy Instruments
- Part 4: The Ambitious Scenario
- 1: The Ambitious Scenario
- 2: The Implications of a New Ambitious Climate Change Agreement
- 3: Sensitivity Analysis and Comparisons with Other Studies.
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