Geocomplexity and the physics of earthquakes

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書誌事項

Geocomplexity and the physics of earthquakes

John B. Rundle, Donald L. Turcotte, William Klein, editors

(Geophysical monograph, no. 120)

American Geophysical Union, c2000

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注記

Includes bibliographical references

内容説明・目次

内容説明

Published by the American Geophysical Union as part of the Geophysical Monograph Series, Volume 120. Earthquakes in urban centers are capable of causing enormous damage. The January 16, 1995 Kobe, Japan earthquake was only a magnitude 6.9 event and yet produced an estimated $200 billion loss. Despite an active earthquake prediction program in Japan, this event was a complete surprise. Similar scenarios are possible in Los Angeles, San Francisco, Seattle, and other urban centers around the Pacific plate boundary. The development of forecast or prediction methodologies for these great damaging earthquakes has been complicated by the fact that the largest events repeat at irregular intervals of hundreds to thousands of years, resulting in a limited historical record that has frustrated phenomenological studies. The papers in this book describe an emerging alternative approach, which is based on a new understanding of earthquake physics arising from the construction and analysis of numerical simulations. With these numerical simulations, earthquake physics now can be investigated in numerical laboratories. Simulation data from numerical experiments can be used to develop theoretical understanding that can be subsequently applied to observed data. These methods have been enabled by the information technology revolution, in which fundamental advances in computing and communications are placing vast computational resources at our disposal.

目次

Preface J. B. Rundle, D.L. Turcotte, and William Klein ix Introduction John B . Rundle, Donald L. Turcotte, and William Klein 1 Models Deterministic Chaos in two State-variable Friction Sliders and the Effect of Elastic Interactions Thorsten W. Becker 5 Spring-block Models of Seismicity: Review and Analysis of a Structurally Heterogeneouos Model Coupled to a Viscous Asthenosphere ]on D. Pelletier 27 Statistical Anlysis of a Model for Earthquake Faults With Long-range Stress Transfer W. Klein, M. Anghel, C. D. Ferguson, J. B. Rundle, and J. S. S. Martins 43 Traveling Wave and Rough Fault Earthquake Models: Illuminating the Relationship Between Slip Deficit and E vent Frequency Statistics Susana J . Gross 73 A Statistical Physics Approach to Earthquakes D. L. Turcotte, W. I. Newman, and A. Gabrielov 83 Earthquakes: Friction or a Plastic Instability? D.C. Roberts and D. L. Turcotte 97 Lattice Solid Simulation of the Physics of Fault Zones and Earthquakes:The Model, Results, and Directions P. Mora, D. Place, S. Abe, and S. Jaum 105 Patterns Dynamics of Seismicity Patterns in Systems of Earthquake Faults John B. Rundle, W. Klein, Kristy Tiampo and Susanna Gross 127 Constraints from Field and Laboratory Data Microscopic and Macroscopic Physics of Earthquakes Hiroo Kanamori and Thomas H. Heaton 147 Depth Dependent Rupture Properties in Circum-Pacific Sub-duction Zones Susan L. Bilek and Thorne Lay 165 Effects of Loading Rate and Normal Stress on Stress Drop and Stick-Slip Recurrence Interval Stephen L. Karner and Chris Marone 187 Changeisn EarthquakSei ze-FrequenDcyis tributionUsn derlyinAgc celeratinSge ismic Moment/Energy Release Steven C. Jaum 199 Observation of Systematic Variations in Non-local Seismicity Patterns from Southern California K. F. Tiampo, J. B. Rundle, S. McGinnis, S. J. Gross, and W. Klein 21 Computational Methods Introducinag New Paradigm for Computational Earth Science: A Web-Object-Based Approach to Earthquake Simulations Geoffrey C. Fox, Ken Hurst, Andrea Donnellan, and Jay Parker 219 Modeling Complex Crustal Processes William J. Bosl 245 Crustal Fluids and Earthquakes William J. Bosi and Amos Nur 267

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