Economic forecasting
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Bibliographic Information
Economic forecasting
Allen & Unwin, 2000
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Includes bibliographical references and index
Description and Table of Contents
Description
'An excellent entree to the world of economic forecasting. A 'grand tour' of the main techniques in the modern armoury, and of the high art (and science) of choosing, adapting and applying the right one - across the range of economic fields.' Dr. Vince FitzGerald, Allen Consulting Can economists tell us what the future holds? All economic decisions require a view of the future. Individual decisions on occupation and property acquisition can determine lifetime incomes. Corporate decisions on new products and company acquisitions have major effects on company profitability. In financial markets, billions of dollars are exchanged daily on the basis of expected interest rates and exchange rates. This book provides an in-depth look at the impressive range of forecasting techniques available to economists. It demonstrates how some of these techniques can be used, with an emphasis on current models and practical applications. These applications include forecasts of the world economy, the macroeconomic performance and structure of the Australian economy, interest and exchange rates, share prices, commodity prices, commercial property rents, and turning points i
Table of Contents
PrefaceContributorsFiguresTables1 IntroductionPeter Abelson and Roselyne Joyeux2 Forecasting methods: An overviewRoselyne Joyeux and Peter Abelson3 Forecasting the world economyWarwick McKibbin4 Forecasting the Australian economy using MM2Chris Murphy5 Forecasting the Australian economy: The role of the MONASH modelPhilip Adams and Brian Parmenter6 Forecasting agricultural commodity pricesGarry Griffith and David Vere7 Share prices and fundamentalsTom Valentine8 Forecasting office rents in SydneyJane Murray9 The use of leading economic indicators in forecastingAllan Layton10 Forecasting long-term interest ratesAdrian Blundell-Wignall and Alison Tarditi11 Forecasting large changes in exchange ratesGuay Lim and Vance Martin12 Forecasting methods: Final observati
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