CiNii 図書 - Thinking and deciding

Thinking and Deciding has established itself as a required text and important reference work for students and scholars of human cognition and rationality. In this, the third edition, Jonathan Baron delves further into many of the key questions addressed in the previous editions. For example, how should we think? What, if anything, keeps us from thinking that way? How can we improve our thinking and decision making? Baron has also revised or expanded his treatment of topics such as risk, utilitarianism, Baye's theorem, moral thinking, trust, utility measurement, and decision analysis and values. By emphasizing decision making, Baron has made Thinking and Deciding, Third Edition more relevant to researchers in applied fields, such as medicine, business, public policy, and law, while maintaining its appeal to graduate and undergraduate students.

Preface
Part I. Thinking in General: 1. What is thinking?
2. The study of thinking
3. Good thinking: the nature of rationality
4. Logic
Part II. Probability and Belief: 5. Normative theory of probability
6. Descriptive theory of probability judgment
7. Hypothesis testing
8. Judgment of correlation and contingency
9. Actively open minded thinking
Part III. Decisions and Plans: 10. Normative theory of choice
11. Description of choice under uncertainty
12. Description of choice under certainty
13. Utility measurement
14. Decision analysis and values
15. Quantitative judgment
16. Moral thinking
17. Fairness and justice
18. Social dilemmas
19. Decisions about the future
20. Risk.

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Thinking and deciding

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