Global trends 2005 : an owner's manual for the next decade

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書誌事項

Global trends 2005 : an owner's manual for the next decade

Michael J. Mazarr

Palgrave, 2001, c1999

  • : pbk

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注記

Includes bibliographical references (p. [297]-322) and index

内容説明・目次

内容説明

Every few centuries, the world changes in a profound way. Not just gradually, but dramatically and forever. Such periods of rapid change become the markers of new historical eras, as singular and profound as the shift from hunter-gatherer bands to agricultural society and the transition from the agricultural to the industrial era. In the West, we are now living through such a period as our economy moves from one of industry to that of knowledge. Global Trends 2005 looks at the changes this shift produces and lays out a roadmap for the next decade.

目次

Introduction - TREND ONE: THE FOUNDATIONS - A Story of Two Worlds - A Price Spike Economy - The Foundation of Human Perception: Culture - TREND TWO: THE ENGINES OF HISTORY - The Engines: Science and Technology - The Engines: Social and Psychological - Chaos and Complexity Theory - Where Are They Taking Us? - TREND THREE: THE HUMAN RESOURCES ECONOMY - A New Kind of Economy - The Reorganization of Work - A Human Resources Economy: Other Aspects - Conflict in the Knowledge Era - TREND FOUR: AN ERA OF GLOBAL TRIBES - The Process of Globalization - Tribalism, Fragmentation and Pluralism - Tribalism Within Globalism - TREND FIVE: A TRANSFORMATION OF AUTHORITY - Phase One: The Decline of Hierarchical Authorities - Implications: Social Instability and a Political Crisis - Phase Two: The Rise of New Authorities - TREND SIX: A TEST OF HUMAN PSYCHOLOGY - 'In Over Our Heads': Postmodern Life and Human Psychology - A Habit of Alienation - The Psychology of a Media Age - The Pessimism Syndrome - Culture and Psychology - THE SCENARIOS: OUTCOMES OF WORLD POLITICS IN 2005 - The End of History - A New Medievalism - Depression Demagogues - Return of the Great Powers - Ecocatastrophe - A Concert of Powers - Conclusion

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