Bayes's theorem
著者
書誌事項
Bayes's theorem
(Proceedings of the British Academy, 113)
Published for the British Academy by Oxford University Press, c2002
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注記
Includes bibliography
内容説明・目次
内容説明
Bayes's theorem is a tool for assessing how probable evidence makes some hypothesis. The papers in this volume consider the worth and applicability of the theorem. Richard Swinburne sets out the philosophical issues. Elliott Sober argues that there are other criteria for assessing hypotheses. Colin Howson, Philip Dawid and John Earman consider how the theorem can be used in statistical science, in weighing evidence in criminal trials, and in assessing evidence for the occurrence of miracles. David Miller argues for the worth of the probability calculus as a tool for measuring propensities in nature rather than the strength of evidence. The volume ends with the original paper containing the theorem, presented to the Royal Society in 1763.
目次
- Bayesianism - its Scope and Limits
- Bayesianism in Statistics
- Bayes's Theorem and Weighing Evidence by Juries
- Bayes's Theorem, Miracles and Theism
- Physical Probability and Bayes's Theorem
- 'Essay Towards Solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chance' by Thomas Bayes
- Historical Introduction
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