Turmoil in Latin America and the Caribbean : volatility, spillovers, and contagion

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Turmoil in Latin America and the Caribbean : volatility, spillovers, and contagion

Guillermo E. Perry, Norbert Fiess

(World Bank working papers, no. 3)

World Bank, 2003

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Includes bibliographical references

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Description

Since June 2002, there has been an increase in the level and volatility of spreads along with pressures in the foreign-exhange markets across Latin America and the Caribbean region (LAC). These have been accompanied by political changes and greater political uncertainty in some countries. Countries such as Uruguay, Paraguay and Bolivia have been facing losses of deposits and reserves of varying degrees of intensity. This report analyses potential contagion and spillover effects of the Argentine crisis from other sources of market volatility. The report also examines the impact of the crisis on foreign and direct investment flows as an indicator of potentially long-lasting harmful effects on capital flows to the LAC region. Finally, it assesses the impact of the Argentina crisis on individual countries in terms of trade and/or financial links.

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