Development of European forests until 2050 : a projection of forest resources and forest management in thirty countries

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Development of European forests until 2050 : a projection of forest resources and forest management in thirty countries

by G.J. Nabuurs ... [et al.]

(European Forest Institute research report, 15)

Brill, 2003

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Includes bibliographical references (p. [239]-242)

Description and Table of Contents

Description

In Europe, forest policy discussions are moving towards a European-Union-wide strategy. This will further strengthen the relations between the European countries in the field of forests and forest management. European-wide forest planning and decision-making require that policy-makers have insight in the long-term development of European forests under alternative regimes. The European Forest Information Scenario Model (EFISCEN) was used to make projections of the development of the European forests under four different scenarios. This book addresses the consequences of each scenario for wood production, biodiversity, and the environmental functions of the forest. The results provide policy-makers with a challenge of whether to intervene in the ongoing trend of build-up of growing stock and whether to choose between enhancing biodiversity, increasing the use of domestically produced wood products, or to combine them.

Table of Contents

  • Acknowledgements Executive Summary INTRODUCTION Forest resources and functions in Europe Wood supply and demand issues Conservation and biodiversity issues Environment and carbon sequestration issues Employment and rural development issues AIM INVENTORY DATA AND MODELLING APPROACHES Input data The age class area matrix approach Diameter distribution based approach Simple balance approach SCENARIOS Basic Assumptions made Scenarios COUNTRY LEVEL RESULTS EUROPEAN SCALE RESULTS European totals Problems in finding desired fellings Spatial distribution of the results DISCUSSION Uncertainties Initial state
  • Basic assumptions related to simulations
  • Simulated results for increment and mortality
  • Model behaviour and validation EUROPE'S FOREST RESOURCE POTENTIAL AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS Summarizing the results Forest resource development in socio-economic and policy context Shaping the policy options for the future What should we know to control the development? References

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