A mathematician at the ballpark : odds and probabilities for baseball fans
著者
書誌事項
A mathematician at the ballpark : odds and probabilities for baseball fans
Pi Press, c2004
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注記
Includes index
内容説明・目次
内容説明
Here is a perfect introduction to the ideas of probability that baseball fans will love. Books on baseball give statistics and use language such as "odds," "likely" and "no chance" without any explanation. Now professor of mathematics Ken Ross has written a guide to the beautiful and powerful science of probability for baseball fans who love statistics.In the last few years, revolutionaries armed with good old mathematics have changed baseball forever. Managers and coaches have refocused their attention on what statistics really measure and what they indicate about the probable performance of a player or a team. Now Ken Ross, himself a lifelong baseball fan, opens up the math behind Michael Lewis's bestseller Moneyball and shows how anyone can use probability to better understand the future of the game, in the next inning, or in the rest of the season, or in the rest of the World Series.See why the On Base Percentage and Slugging Percentage together are more meaningful than each is by itself (and why they are neither percentages nor averages). See how to calculate the probability that a seven-game series will go four, five, six or seven games.
Learn how a mathematician adept in the arithmetic of probability can combine statistics to produce tailor-made analyses in answering questions about specific teams, players, and games. Filled with current and historical players, this is the first book that focuses on probability in baseball.
目次
Preface. 1. Who's the Best Hitter? 2. But Which Team Are You Betting On? 3. Will You Win the Lottery? 4. What Would Pete Rose Do? 5. Will the Yankees Win if Steinbrenner is Gone? 6. How Long Should the World Series Last? 7. When Should You Stop Betting? 8. What About Streaks? Appendix 1. Now a Word from Our Statisticians. Appendix 2. The Binomial Theorem. Annotated Bibliography. Acknowledgments. Index.
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