Regional economic outlook : sub-Saharan Africa

著者

• International Monetary Fund

書誌事項

Regional economic outlook : sub-Saharan Africa

International Monetary Fund

（World economic and financial surveys）

International Monetary Fund, 2005-

• supplement
• 2006
• 2007
• 2008
• 2009-Apr
• 2009-Oct
• 2010-Apr
• 2010-Oct
• 2011-Apr
• 2011-Oct
• 2012-Apr
• 2012-Oct
• 2013-May
• 2013-Oct
• 2014-Apr
• 2014-Oct
• 2015-Apr
• 2015-Oct
• 2016-Apr
• 2016-Oct
• 2017-Apr
• 2017-Oct
• 2018-Apr
• 2018-Oct
• 2019-Apr
• 2019-Oct

注記

Bibliography

2009-Oct: Weathering the Storm -- 2010-Oct: Resilience and risks -- 2012-Apr: Sustaining growth amid global uncertainty -- 2012-Oct: Maintaining growth in an uncertain world -- 2013-May: Building momentum in multi-speed world -- 2013-Oct: Keeping the pace -- 2014-Apr: Fostering durable and inclusive growth -- 2015-Apr: Navigating headwinds -- 2015-Oct.: Dealing with the gathering clouds -- 2016-Apr.: Time for a policy reset -- 2016-Oct.: Multispeed growth -- 2017-Apr.: Restarting the growth engine -- 2017-Oct.: Fiscal adjustment and economic diversification -- 2018-Apr.: Domestic revenue mobilization and private investment -- 2018-Oct.: Capital flows and the future of work -- 2019-Apr.: Recovery amid elevated uncertainty -- 2019-Oct.: Navigating uncertainty

内容説明・目次

巻冊次

2012-Oct ISBN 9781475510799

内容説明

Economic conditions in sub-Saharan Africa have remained generally robust despite a sluggish global economy. The near-term outlook for the region remains broadly positive, and growth is project ed at 5 1/4 percent a year in 2012-13. Most low-income countries are projected to continue to grow strongly, supported by domestic demand, including from investment. The outlook is less favorable for many of the middle-income countries, especially South Africa, that are more closely linked to European markets and thus experience a more noticeable drag from the external environment. The main risks to the outlook are an intensification of financial stresses in the euro zone and a sharp fiscal adjustment in the US-the so called fiscal cliff.

巻冊次

2013-Oct ISBN 9781475553413

内容説明

The October 2013 Regional Economic Outlook: Sub-Saharan Africa provides a comprehensive report on the prospects for growth in the region, as well as the major risks to the outlook. Generally, growth is expected to remain strong despite a downward revision since the May 2013 report. The report analyzes drivers of growth in nonresource-rich sub-Saharan African countries, and examines the risks to frontier market economies of volatile capital flows as they become more integrated with international capital markets.

巻冊次

2017-Apr ISBN 9781475574463

内容説明

Growth momentum in sub-Saharan Africa remains fragile, marking a break from the rapid expansion witnessed since the turn of the millennium. 2016 was a difficult year for many countries, with regional growth dipping to 1.4 percent-the lowest level of growth in more than two decades. Most oil exporters were in recession, and conditions in other resource-intensive countries remained difficult. Other nonresource-intensive countries however, continued to grow robustly. A modest recovery in growth of about 2.6 percent is expected in 2017, but this falls short of past trends and is too low to put sub-Saharan Africa back on a path of rising living standards. While sub-Saharan Africa remains a region with tremendous growth potential, the deterioration in the overall outlook partly reflects insufficient policy adjustment. In that context, and to reap this potential, strong and sound domestic policy measures are needed to restart the growth engine.

巻冊次

2017-Oct ISBN 9781484312513

内容説明

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2017, SubSaharan Africa

巻冊次

2018-Apr ISBN 9781484339862

内容説明

These reports discuss recent economic developments and prospects for countries in various regions. They also address economic policy developments that have affected economic performance in the regions, and discuss key challenges faced by policymakers. They address regional policy developments and challenges, and provide country-specific data and analysis, including through analytical pieces on issues of interest to a particular region.

巻冊次

2014-Apr ISBN 9781484342886

内容説明

The five Regional Economic Outlooks published biannually by the IMF cover Asia and Pacific, Europe, the Middle East and Central Asia, Sub-Saharan Africa, and the Western Hemisphere. In each volume, recent economic developments and prospects for the region are discussed as a whole, as well as for specific countries. The reports include key data for countries in the region. Each report focuses on policy developments that have affected economic performance in the region, and discusses key challenges faced by policymakers. The near-term outlook, key risks, and their related policy challenges are analyzed throughout the reports, and current issues are explored, such as when and how to withdraw public interventions in financial systems globally while maintaining a still-fragile economic recovery.These indispensable surveys are the product of comprehensive intradepartmental reviews of economic developments that draw primarily on information the IMF staff gathers through consultation with member countries.

巻冊次

2013-May ISBN 9781484365151

内容説明

Growth remained strong in the region in 2012, with regional GDP rates increasing in most countries (excluding Nigeria and South Africa). Projections point to a moderate, broad-based acceleration in growth to around 51/2 percent in 201314, reflecting a gradually strengthening global economy and robust domestic demand. Investment in export-oriented sectors remains an important economic driver, and an agriculture rebound in drought-affected areas will also help growth. Uncertainties in the global economy are the main risk to the region's outlook, but plausible adverse shocks would likely not have a large effect on the region's overall performance

巻冊次

2018-Oct ISBN 9781484375396

内容説明

The macroeconomic outlook for sub-Saharan Africa continues to strengthen. Growth is expected to increase from 2.7 percent in 2017 to 3.1 percent in 2018, reflecting domestic policy adjustments and a supportive external environment, including continued steady growth in the global economy, higher commodity prices, and accommodative external financing conditions. Inflation is abating; and fiscal imbalances are being contained in many countries. Over the medium term, and on current policies, growth is expected to accelerate to about 4 percent, too low to create the number of jobs needed to absorb anticipated new entrants into labor markets.

巻冊次

2019-Apr ISBN 9781484396865

内容説明

The economic recovery in sub-Saharan Africa is expected to continue, but at a slower pace than envisaged in October 2018. This weaker outlook reflects domestic and external challenges. On the external side, the global expansion is losing momentum, including in China and the euro area, trade tensions remain elevated, global financial conditions have tightened, and commodity prices are expected to remain low. On the domestic front, security challenges, climate shocks, and policy uncertainty are hampering investment and weighing on economic prospects in several countries. Under current policies, medium-term average growth for the region is expected to continue to fall well short of what is needed to absorb the new entrants to the labor force and to deliver limited gains in living standards.

巻冊次

2015-Apr ISBN 9781498329842

内容説明

Provides a comprehensive report on the prospects for growth in the region, as well as the major risks to the outlook. The report analyses drivers of growth in nonresource-rich sub-Saharan African countries, and examines the risks to frontier market economies of volatile capital flows as they become more integrated with international capital markets.

巻冊次

2016-Apr ISBN 9781498388139

内容説明

Economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa as a whole has fallen to its lowest level in 15 years, though with large variation among countries in the region. The sharp decline in commodity prices has severely strained many of the largest economies, including oil exporters Angola and Nigeria, and other commodity exporters, such as Ghana, South Africa, and Zambia. At the same time, the decline in oil prices has helped other countries continue to show robust growth, including Kenya and Senegal. A strong policy response to the terms-of-trade shocks is critical and urgent in many countries. This report also examines sub-Saharan Africa's vulnerability to commodity price shocks, and documents the substantial progress made in financial develop, especially financial services based on mobile technologies.

巻冊次

2019-Oct ISBN 9781513514055

内容説明

Growth in sub-Saharan Africa is expected to pick up, though at a slower pace than previously expected. This revision reflects a more challenging external environment, continued output disruptions in oil-exporting countries, and a weaker-than-anticipated growth in South Africa. The challenge for the region is to boost growth to create jobs for the growing labor force, while protecting against debt vulnerabilities and risks from a difficult global environment.

巻冊次

2016-Oct ISBN 9781513595979

内容説明

Economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa this year is set to drop to its lowest level in more than 20 years, reflecting the adverse external environment, and a lackluster policy response in many countries. However, the aggregate picture is one of multispeed growth: while most of non-resource-intensive countries—half of the countries in the region—continue to perform well, as they benefit from lower oil prices, an improved business environment, and continued strong infrastructure investment, most commodity exporters are under severe economic strains. This is particularly the case for oil exporters whose near-term prospects have worsened significantly in recent months. Sub-Saharan Africa remains a region of immense economic potential, but policy adjustment in the hardest-hit countries needs to be enacted promptly to allow for a growth rebound.

巻冊次

2015-Oct ISBN 9781513597331

内容説明

Growth in sub-Saharan Africa has weakened after more than a decade of solid growth, although this overall outlook masks considerable variation across the region. Some countries have been negatively affected by falling prices of their main commodity exports. Oil-exporting countries, including Nigeria and Angola, have been hit hard by falling revenues and the resulting fiscal adjustments, while middle-income countries such as Ghana, South Africa, and Zambia are also facing unfavorable conditions. This October 2015 report discusses the fiscal and monetary policy adjustments necessary for these countries to adapt to the new environment. Chapter 2 looks at competitiveness in the region, analyzing the substantial trade integration that accompanied the recent period of high growth, and policy actions to nurture new sources of growth. Chapter 3 looks at the implications for the region of persistently high income and gender inequality and ways to reduce them.

巻冊次

ISBN 9781589064430

内容説明

This first, annual issue of ""Regional Economic Outlook: Sub-Saharan Africa"" analyzes economic, trade, and institutional issues in 2004, and prospects in 2005, for the 42 countries covered by the IMF African Department (for data reasons, Eritrea and Liberia are excluded). Topics examined include responses to exogenous shocks, growth performance and growth-enhancing policies, and the effectiveness of regional trade arrangements. Detailed aggregate and country data (as of February 24, 2005) are provided in the appendix.

巻冊次

supplement ISBN 9781589064881

内容説明

Dated October 2005

巻冊次

2006 ISBN 9781589065260

内容説明

Prepared by the Policy Wing of the IMF African Department, and published twice a year in English and French, ""Regional Economic Outlook: Sub-Saharan Africa"" analyzes economic performance and short-term prospects of the 44 countries covered by the Department. Topics examined in recent volumes include responses to exogenous shocks, growth performance and growth-enhancing policies, the effectiveness of regional trade arrangements, macroeconomic implications of scaled-up aid, financial sector development, and fiscal decentralization. Detailed country data, grouped by oil-exporting and oil-importing countries and by subregion, are provided in an appendix and a statistical appendix, and a list of relevant publications by the African Department is included.

巻冊次

2007 ISBN 9781589066397

内容説明

Sub-Saharan Africa's growth performance in recent years has been the best in more than three decades. Higher resources from oil revenue as well as debt relief are being used to make progress toward the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). Despite the resulting spending pressures, in most countries macroeconomic stability has been preserved and policies appear to support and sustain the region's higher growth trajectory. However, much more needs to be done if the region is to attain the MDGs, both by country authorities and donors. The April 2007 issue reviews sub-Saharan Africa's growth performance, outlook, and risks.This is complemented by brief analyses of issues such as poverty, climate change, access to technologies, service outsourcing to sub-Saharan Africa, and China's economic relations with the region; and in-depth analysis of: macroeconomic challenges facing sub-Saharan African oil producers, covering a wide range of issues from managing and spending higher oil revenues to absorption and Dutch disease; sub-Saharan Africa's emerging export patterns, in particular in light of the ascent of Asian trade, and policies for turning trade into an engine of development; and the evolution of domestic debt markets in sub-Saharan Africa, policy challenges in developing them, and how to manage increased foreign capital inflows. Prepared by the IMF's African Department, and published twice a year in English and French, ""Regional Economic Outlook: Sub-Saharan Africa"" analyzes economic performance and short-term prospects of the 44 countries covered by the department. Detailed data for countries and various groupings are provided in a statistical appendix, and a list of relevant publications by the African Department is included.

巻冊次

2008 ISBN 9781589067639

内容説明

The region's prospects continue to be promising, but global developments pose increased risks to the outlook.Growth in sub-Saharan Africa should again average about 6-1/2 percent in 2008 with oil exporters leading the way; meanwhile, growth in oil importers is expected to taper off, though only modestly. With food and energy prices still rising, inflation is projected to average about 8-1/2 percent this year for countries in the region, setting aside Zimbabwe. Risks in 2008 are tilted to the downside, but the region is better placed today to withstand a worsening of the global environment.

巻冊次

2009-Apr ISBN 9781589068384

内容説明

Prepared by the IMF African Department, and published twice a year in English and French, ""Regional Economic Outlook: Sub-Saharan Africa"" analyzes the macroeconomic performance and short-term prospects of sub-Saharan Africa and provides and in-depth analysis of selected topics. ""The April 2009 Outlook"" includes two chapters: one on the macroeconomic impact of the global financial crisis on sub-Saharan Africa, and the other on the impact of the crisis on financial systems in the region. Detailed country data are provided in a statistical appendix.

巻冊次

2009-Oct ISBN 9781589068575

内容説明

Sub-Saharan Africa has been hit hard by the global recession, but signs of resilience remain. While South Africa and some other middle-income countries were caught in the turbulence of international financial markets, and oil exporters saw government revenues plunge, some countries with wider commodity bases have so far escaped the worst of the crisis. Also, and reassuringly, with stronger initial fiscal and external positions than in past downturns, most countries in the region have been able to partially absorb external shocks by allowing fiscal deficits to rise and reducing interest rates. Exchange rates have generally been allowed to adjust. With many families affected by the crisis, however, progress toward the Millennium Development Goals has receded. Looking ahead, fiscal policy must balance support for the recovery with enhancing future growth prospects, debt sustainability, and poverty reduction. Published biannually in May and October.

巻冊次

2010-Apr ISBN 9781589069183

内容説明

The five ""Regional Economic Outlooks"" published biannually by the IMF cover Asia and Pacific, Europe, the Middle East and Central Asia, Sub-Saharan Africa, and the Western Hemisphere. In each volume, recent economic developments and prospects for the region are discussed as a whole, as well as for specific countries. The reports include key data for countries in the regions. Each report zeroes in on policy developments that have affected economic performance in the region, and discusses key challenges faced by policymakers. The near-term outlook, key risks, and their related policy challenges are analyzed throughout, and special chapters look more closely at topics such as the evolving nature of capital inflows, housing market developments, the impact of commodity price booms on lower-income economies, or the prospects for sustainable growth in developed economies. These indispensable surveys are the product of comprehensive intradepartmental reviews of economic developments that draw primarily on information the IMF staff gathers through consultation with member countries.

巻冊次

2010-Oct ISBN 9781589069497

内容説明

The October 2010 Regional Economic Outlook features: (i) an overview of economic developments and prospects in sub-Saharan Africa; (ii) an analytical assessment of how monetary policy changes are transmitted through the region's economies; and (iii) a study of why growth rates in the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) have lagged behind other parts of sub-Saharan Africa. The overview highlights the broad-based economic recovery that is now under way in sub-Saharan Africa and projects growth of 5 percent in 2010 and 5.5 percent in 2011. It explores the resilience of most economies in the region to the global financial crises of 2007-09 and explains why sound economic policy implementation and a growing orientation of trade toward Emerging Asia are expected to continue to underpin growth. The second chapter provides evidence suggesting that monetary policy may have more power to influence monetary conditions than previously assumed. Main messages from the WAEMU study are the importance of strong policy environments and political stability for achieving sustained growth; and of robust fiscal frameworks for directing resources towards priority spending needs.

巻冊次

2011-Apr ISBN 9781616350611

内容説明

Sub-Saharan Africa's economic recovery is well under way, although among country groups there is variation in the speed of the recovery. In most of the region's low-income countries and among the seven oil exporters growth is almost back to precrisis levels. However, in the region's middle-income countries, including South Africa, the recovery has been more gradual. This Regional Economic Outlook describes the impact of recent economic developments---sharp increases in food and fuel prices will need fiscal interventions targeting the poor, while higher oil prices will be a boon to some countries and adversely affect others. Policy adjustments are needed to move away from the supportive stance of the last few years but should be balanced against the need to alleviate the impact of rising food prices on poor households.

巻冊次

2011-Oct ISBN 9781616351250

内容説明

This year looks set to be another encouraging one for most sub-Saharan African economies. Reflecting mainly strong demand but also elevated commodity prices, the region's economy is set to expand by more than 51/4 percent in 2011. For 2012, the IMF staff's baseline projection is for growth to be higher at 53/4 percent, owing to one-off boosts to production in a number of countries. There are, however, specters at the feast: the increase in global food and fuel prices, amplified by drought affecting parts of the region, has hit the budgets of the poor and sparked rising inflation, and hesitations in the global recovery threaten to weaken export and growth prospects. The projection for 2012 for the region is highly contingent on global economic growth being sustained at about 4 percent. A further slowing of growth in advanced economies, curtailing global demand, would generate significant headwinds for the region's ongoing expansion, with more globally integrated countries likely to be most affected. Policies in the coming months need to tread a fine line between addressing the challenges that strong growth and recent exogenous shocks have engendered and warding off the adverse effects of another global downturn. In some slower-growing, mostly middle-income countries without binding financial constraints, policies should clearly remain supportive of output growth, even more so if global growth sputters. Provided the global economy experiences the currently predicted slow and steady growth, most of the region's low-income countries should focus squarely on medium-term considerations in setting fiscal policy while tightening monetary policy wherever nonfood inflation has climbed above single digits. In the event of a global downturn, subject to financing constraints, policies in these countries should focus on maintaining planned spending initiatives, while allowing automatic stabilizers to operate on the revenue side. For the region's oil exporters, better terms of trade provide a good opportunity to build up policy buffers against further price volatility.

巻冊次

2012-Apr ISBN 9781616352493

内容説明

Sub-Saharan Africa continues to record strong economic growth, despite the weaker global economic environment. Regional output rose by 5 percent in 2011, with growth set to increase slightly in 2012, helped by still-strong commodity prices, new resource exploitation, and the improved domestic conditions that have underpinned several years of solid trend growth in the region's low-income countries. But there is variation in performance across the region, with output in middle-income countries tracking more closely the global slowdown and with some sub-regions adversely affected, at least temporarily, by drought. Threats to the outlook include the risk of intensified financial stresses in the euro area spilling over into a further slowing of the global economy and the possibility of an oil price surge triggered by rising geopolitical tensions

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詳細情報

• NII書誌ID(NCID): BA73822999
• ISBN:
  • 1589064437
  • 1589064887
  • 1589065263
  • 9781589066397
  • 9781589067639
  • 9781589068384
  • 9781589068575
  • 9781589069183
  • 9781589069497
  • 9781616350611
  • 9781616351250
  • 9781616352493
  • 9781475510799
  • 9781484365151
  • 9781475553413
  • 9781484342886
  • 9781498386456
  • 9781498329842
  • 9781513597331
  • 9781498388139
  • 9781513595979
  • 9781475574463
  • 9781484312513
  • 9781484339862
  • 9781484375396
  • 9781484396865
  • 9781513514055
• 出版国コード: us
• タイトル言語コード: eng
• 本文言語コード: eng
• 出版地: Washington, D.C.
• ページ数/冊数: v.
• 大きさ: 28 cm
• 親書誌ID:
  • BA01058123