Economic forecasting
著者
書誌事項
Economic forecasting
Palgrave Macmillan, 2005
- : cloth
- : pbk.
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注記
Includes bibliographical references (p. 292-302) and index
内容説明・目次
内容説明
Economic Forecasting provides a comprehensive overview of macroeconomic forecasting. The focus is first on a wide range of theories as well as empirical methods: business cycle analysis, time series methods, macroeconomic models, medium and long-run projections, fiscal and financial forecasts, and sectoral forecasting. In addition, the book addresses the main issues surrounding the use of forecasts (accuracy, communication challenges) and their policy implications. A tour of the economic data and forecasting institutions is also provided.
目次
- Foreword by
- J.-P. Cotis Introduction First Principles The Data Incoming News and Near-term Forecasting Time Series Methods Modelling Behaviour Macroeconomic Models Medium and Long-run Projections Financial and Commodity Markets Budget Forecasts Sectoral Forecasting Accuracy Using the Forecasts Communication Challenges A Tour of the Forecasting Institutions Epilogue
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