Bibliographic Information

The ultimate resource 2

Julian L. Simon

(Princeton paperbacks)

Princeton University Press, 1998, c1996

  • : pbk

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Ultimate resource two

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"Revised edition. with an appreciation by Milton Friedman"--Cover

Rev. ed. of: The ultimate resource by Julian L. Simon, published Princeton, N.J. : Princeton University Press, c1981

Includes bibliographical references (p. [653]-690) and index

Description and Table of Contents

Description

Arguing that the ultimate resource is the human imagination coupled to the human spirit, Julian Simon led a vigorous challenge to conventional beliefs about scarcity of energy and natural resources, pollution of the environment, the effects of immigration, and the "perils of overpopulation." The comprehensive data, careful quantitative research, and economic logic contained in the first edition of The Ultimate Resource questioned widely held professional judgments about the threat of overpopulation, and Simon's celebrated bet with Paul Ehrlich about resource prices in the 1980s enhanced the public attention--both pro and con--that greeted this controversial book. Now Princeton University Press presents a revised and expanded edition of The Ultimate Resource. The new volume is thoroughly updated and provides a concise theory for the observed trends: Population growth and increased income put pressure on supplies of resources. This increases prices, which provides opportunity and incentive for innovation. Eventually the innovative responses are so successful that prices end up below what they were before the shortages occurred. The book also tackles timely issues such as the supposed rate of species extinction, the "vanishing farmland crisis," and the wastefulness of coercive recycling. In Simon's view, the key factor in natural and world economic growth is our capacity for the creation of new ideas and contributions to knowledge. The more people alive who can be trained to help solve the problems that confront us, the faster we can remove obstacles, and the greater the economic inheritance we shall bequeath to our descendants. In conjunction with the size of the educated population, the key constraint on human progress is the nature of the economic-political system: talented people need economic freedom and security to bring their talents to fruition.

Table of Contents

Analytical ContentsList of FiguresList of TablesPrefaceAcknowledgments for the First EditionAcknowledgments for the Second EditionIntroduction. What Are the Real Population and Resource Problems?31The Amazing Theory of Raw-Material Scarcity232Why Are Material-Technical Resource Forecasts So Often Wrong?413Can the Supply of Natural Resources - Especially Energy - Really Be Infinite? Yes!544The Grand Theory735Famine 1995? or 2025? or 1975?846What Are the Limits on Food Production?977The Worldwide Food Situation Now: Shortage Crises, Glut Crises, and Government1098Are We Losing Ground?1279Two Bogeymen: "Urban Sprawl" and Soil Erosion13910Water, Wood, Wetlands - and What Next?15111When Will We Run Out of Oil? Never!16212Today's Energy Issues18213Nuclear Power: Tomorrow's Greatest Energy Opportunity20314A Dying Planet? How the Media Have Scared the Public21215The Peculiar Theory of Pollution22316Whither the History of Pollution?23317Pollution Today: Specific Trends and Issues24118Bad Environmental and Resource Scares25819Will Our Consumer Wastes Bury Us?27520Should We Conserve Resources for Others' Sakes? What Kinds of Resources Need Conservation?28321Coercive Recycling, Forced Conservation, and Free-Market Alternatives29722Standing Room Only? The Demographic Facts31123What Will Future Population Growth Be?32624Do Humans Breed Like Flies? Or Like Norwegian Rats?34225Population Growth and the Stock of Capital35726Population's Effects on Technology and Productivity36727Economies of Scope and Education39128Population Growth, Natural Resources, and Future Generations39929Population Growth and Land41230Are People an Environmental Pollution?42931Are Humans Causing Species Holocaust?43932A Greater Population Does Not Damage Health, or Psychological and Social Well-Being45933The Big Economic Picture: Population Growth and Living Standards in MDCs47134The Big Picture II: LDCs49135How the Comparisons People Make Affect Their Beliefs about Whether Things Are Getting Better or Worse51336The Rhetoric of Population Control: Does the End Justify the Means?51937The Reasoning behind the Rhetoric53738Ultimately - What Are Your Values?54739The Key Values557Conclusion. The Ultimate Resource578Epilogue. My Critics and I593Notes617References653Index691

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