Democratic processes and financial markets : pricing politics
Author(s)
Bibliographic Information
Democratic processes and financial markets : pricing politics
Cambridge University Press, 2006
- : hbk
- : pbk
Available at 8 libraries
  Aomori
  Iwate
  Miyagi
  Akita
  Yamagata
  Fukushima
  Ibaraki
  Tochigi
  Gunma
  Saitama
  Chiba
  Tokyo
  Kanagawa
  Niigata
  Toyama
  Ishikawa
  Fukui
  Yamanashi
  Nagano
  Gifu
  Shizuoka
  Aichi
  Mie
  Shiga
  Kyoto
  Osaka
  Hyogo
  Nara
  Wakayama
  Tottori
  Shimane
  Okayama
  Hiroshima
  Yamaguchi
  Tokushima
  Kagawa
  Ehime
  Kochi
  Fukuoka
  Saga
  Nagasaki
  Kumamoto
  Oita
  Miyazaki
  Kagoshima
  Okinawa
  Korea
  China
  Thailand
  United Kingdom
  Germany
  Switzerland
  France
  Belgium
  Netherlands
  Sweden
  Norway
  United States of America
Note
Includes bibliographical references (p. 237-253) and index
Description and Table of Contents
Description
The authors examine the conditions under which democratic events, including elections, cabinet formations, and government dissolutions, affect asset markets. Where these events have less predictable outcomes, market returns are depressed and volatility increases. In contrast, where market actors can forecast the result, returns do not exhibit any unusual behavior. Further, political expectations condition how markets respond to the political process. When news causes market actors to update their political beliefs, market actors reallocate their portfolios, and overall market behavior changes. To measure political information, Professors Bernhard and Leblang employ sophisticated models of the political process. They draw on a variety of models of market behavior, including the efficient markets hypothesis, capital asset pricing model, and arbitrage pricing theory, to trace the impact of political events on currency, stock, and bond markets. The analysis will appeal to academics, graduate students, and advanced undergraduates across political science, economics, and finance.
Table of Contents
- 1. Introduction
- 2. Democratic processes and political risk: evidence from foreign exchange markets
- 3. When markets party: stocks, bonds, and cabinet formations
- 4. The cross-national financial consequences of political predictability
- 5. Cabinet dissolutions and interest rate behavior
- 6. Bargaining and bonds: the process of coalition formation and the market for government debt in Austria and New Zealand
- 7. Time, shares, and Florida: the 2000 Presidential Election and stock market volatility
- 8. Polls and pounds: exchange rate behavior and public opinion in Britain
- 9. Conclusion: political predictability and financial market behavior.
by "Nielsen BookData"