To augur well : early warning indicators in world politics
著者
書誌事項
To augur well : early warning indicators in world politics
（Sage focus editions, no. 11）
Sage Publications, c1979
- : pbk.
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注記
Bibliography: p. 291-305
収録内容
- Early warning indicators from the correlates of war project / Michael D. Wallace
- Alliances and the expansion of war / Randolph M. Siverson and Joel King
- Breakpoints and interstate conflict / David B. Dewitt
- Sociopolitical indicators of conflict and cooperation / Jonathan Wilkenfeld, Gerald W. Hopple, and Paul J. Rossa
- Forecasting domestic political conflict / Ted Robert Gurr and Mark Irving Lichbach
- Monitoring nuclear proliferation / Stephen M. Meyer and Thomas L. Brewer
- Foreign policy articulations and U.S. conflict behavior / Michael P. Sullivan
- A cross-agency comparison of U.S. crisis perception / Warren R. Phillips and Richard V. Rimkunas
- A Chinese view of the international system / Steve Chan, John A. Kringen, and Davis B. Bobrow
内容説明・目次
内容説明
The chapters in this volume were solicited in an effort to update the forecaster's art in the realm of world politics, now that the advent of the nuclear age leaves little margin for error. The contributors examine war, interstate conflicts, nuclear proliferation, domestic political conflict, and international political conflict.
'The articles are, without exception, coherent, articulate, methodologically sophisticated and well-substantiated.' -- Millenium
'This is a useful addition to the rapidly growing literature on the statistical analysis of the international system.' -- Political Studies, June 1982
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