Thinking and deciding
著者
書誌事項
Thinking and deciding
Cambridge University Press, c2008
4th ed
- : hardback
- : pbk
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注記
Includes bibliographical references (p. 527-565) and indexes
内容説明・目次
内容説明
Beginning with its first edition and through subsequent editions, Thinking and Deciding has established itself as the required text and important reference work for students and scholars of human cognition and rationality. In this fourth edition, first published in 2007, Jonathan Baron retains the comprehensive attention to the key questions addressed in the previous editions - how should we think? What, if anything, keeps us from thinking that way? How can we improve our thinking and decision making? - and his expanded treatment of topics such as risk, utilitarianism, Baye's theorem, and moral thinking. With the student in mind, the fourth edition emphasises the development of an understanding of the fundamental concepts in judgement and decision making. This book is essential reading for students and scholars in judgement and decision making and related fields, including psychology, economics, law, medicine, and business.
目次
- Preface
- Part I. Thinking in General: 1. What is thinking?
- 2. The study of thinking
- 3. Rationality
- 4. Logic
- Part II. Probability and Belief: 5. Normative theory of probability
- 6. Descriptive theory of probability judgment
- 7. Hypothesis testing
- 8. Judgment of correlation and contingency
- 9. Actively open-minded thinking
- Part III. Decisions and Plans: 10. Normative theory of choice
- 11. Description of choice under uncertainty
- 12. Choice under certainty
- 13. Utility measurement
- 14. Decision analysis and values
- 15. Quantitative judgment
- 16. Moral judgement and choice
- 17. Fairness and justice
- 18. Social dilemmas
- 19. Decisions about the future
- 20. Risk.
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