Modelling regional scenarios for the enlarged Europe : European competiveness and global strategies
著者
書誌事項
Modelling regional scenarios for the enlarged Europe : European competiveness and global strategies
（Advances in spatial science）
Springer, c2008
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注記
Includes bibliographical references (p. 307-319) and index
内容説明・目次
内容説明
Tackling the question of what the European territory will look like over the next fifteen years, this volume provides quali-quantitative territorial scenarios for the enlarged Europe, under different assumptions on future globalisation strategies of BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India and China) and East and West European countries. The approach is as neutral as possible vis-a-vis the results, leading to a new forecasting model, the MASST model, built by the authors.
目次
From Forecasts to Quantitative Foresights: Territorial Scenarios for an Enlarged Europe.- From Forecasts to Quantitative Foresights: Territorial Scenarios for an Enlarged Europe.- Theoretical and Empirical Underpinnings.- Space and Theoretical Approaches to Regional Growth.- Regional Competitiveness: Towards a Concept of Territorial Capital.- Space and Empirical Approaches to Regional Growth.- National and Regional Econometric Models.- Conceptual and Methodological Specifications.- The MASST Model: A Generative Forecasting Model of Regional Growth.- The Estimation Procedure: Data and Results.- The Simulation Procedure: The Algorithm, the Target Variables and the Stability of the Model.- Scenarios for the Enlarged Europe: Regional Quantitative Foresights.- Driving Forces of Change: The Baseline Scenario.- Global Challenges and European Strategies: Alternative Scenarios.- Territorial Images of the Future: The Quantitative Foresights Results.- Towards a Conclusion: Regional and Territorial Policy Recommendations.
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