Economics of the international coal trade : the renaissance of steam coal

Author(s)

    • Schernikau, Lars

Bibliographic Information

Economics of the international coal trade : the renaissance of steam coal

Lars Schernikau

Springer, c2010

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Includes bibliographical references and index

Description and Table of Contents

Description

Coal, the catalyst of the industrial age, is now poised to shape how the world consumes energy in the twenty-?rst century. The ascendance of oil in the global economy to a looming peak is forcing countries, companies, and consumers to reconsider their relationship to something they cannot live without: energy. And whileothersourcesofenergy,suchasnuclear,naturalgas,andrenewables,willall play an ever greater role in serving demand, intelligent observers would be wise not to miss what is perhaps the clearest trend of all: the second coal era is now uponus. Thedevelopingworldisrapidlyelectrifyinginordertodriveeconomicgrowth. Andelectri?cationmeanscoal.ThisisparticularlytrueinIndiaandChina,where coaloffersthecheapestandmostreliableroutetoelectricpower.Thesetwoco- triesalonewilldrive80%ofcoalconsumptiongrowthto2030.TheInternational EnergyAgencyexpectsthatglobalcoalconsumptionwillincreaseby60%inthe nexttwodecades.LarsSchernikau'sTheRenaissanceofSteamCoalcouldnotcome atabettertime.Lars'skillintracingthelongarcofindustrialevolutionpairedwith his acute knowledge of the coal market make his arguments both insightful and highlycredible.Hebeginsbysuccinctlyframingtheproblemanddistillingourc- rentpredicament:wearecaughtbetween'theOilAge'andthe'theSolarAge'(by thishemeanstheageofrenewables). Wearealloptimiststosomedegree,butthe realistsamongusknowthatrenewableenergyisnotgoingtocompletely?llthis gapfordecades.Where,then,doesthisleaveus?ItleavesuswithTheRenaissance ofSteamCoal. Coal is now the world's fastest growing source of fossil fuel, a position it is expected to hold for the foreseeable future. Yet the coal market is far less well understoodthantheoilorgasmarkets.Academics,policymakers,andmarketp- ticipantsarefacedwiththeprospectofourcollectiveknowledgeaboutthismarket notkeepingpacewithitsincreasingrelevance.Coal,only30yearsagoalocalized fuelsource,isnowavolatileglobalcommoditywithbanksandhedgefundspiling intotheoncetraditionalbusiness.Notonlyisthecoalmarketnowmorerelevant thanever,it'salsomuchmorecomplex.

Table of Contents

Executive Summary.- Sources of Coal - Review of Coal as a Resource.- Use of Coal - Power Generation and More.- The Global Steam Coal Market and Supply Curve.- Industrial Structure: Game Theory and Cournot.- Conclusions, Implications, and the Future of Coal.

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