Forecasting, warning and responding to transnational risks

著者

    • De Franco, Chiara
    • Meyer, Christoph O.

書誌事項

Forecasting, warning and responding to transnational risks

edited by Chiara de Franco and Christoph O. Meyer

Palgrave Macmillan, 2011

  • : hardback

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注記

Bibliography: p. 258-279

Includes index

内容説明・目次

内容説明

Assembling a high profile group of scholars and practitioners, this book investigates the interplay of forecasting; warnings about, and responses to, known and unknown transnational risks. It challenges conventional accounts of 'failures' of warning and preventive policy in both the academic literature and public debate.

目次

  • Introduction: The Challenges of Prevention
  • C.De Franco & C.O.Meyer PART I: FORECASTING HARM The Coastline of The Future: Some Limits on Forecasting and Prediction
  • D.Omand Epistemology of Forecasting in International Relations: Knowing the Difference between 'Intelligence Failure' and 'Warning Failure'
  • J.Goldman Foresec: Lessons Learnt from a Pan-European Security Foresight Project
  • V.Brummer , C.Burnley, H.Carlsen, A.Duta, B.Giegerich & R.Magoni Modelling Transnational Environmental Risks: Scenarios for Decision Support
  • F.Wagner Risk, Uncertainty and the Assessment of Organised Crime
  • T.Van Der Beken PART II: COMMUNICATING AND LEARNING FROM WARNINGS Mediatised Warnings: Late, Wrong, Yet Indispensable? Lessons from Climate Change and Civil War
  • C.De Franco & C.O.Meyer Do They Listen? Communicating Warnings: An Intelligence Practitioners Perspective
  • W.Shapcott Responding to early flood warnings in the European Union
  • D.Demeritt & S.Nobert Dark Secrets: Face-Work, Organizational Culture and Disaster Prevention
  • M.S.Gerstein & E.H.Schein PART III: RESPONDING TO WARNINGS Transnational Risk Management: A Business Perspective
  • C.Crossin & J.Smither From the 'Neurotic' to the 'Rationalising' State: Risk and the Limits of Governance
  • H.Rothstein, O.Borraz & M.Huber Ilos and Silences: The Role of Fragmentation in the Recent Financial Crisis
  • G.Tett Forecasting, Warning and Preventive Policy: The Case of Finance
  • T.F.Huertas Prospective Sense-Making: A Realistic Approach to 'Foresight for Prevention' in an Age of Complex Threats
  • W.H.Fishbein Conclusion: New Perspectives for Theorising and Addressing Transnational Risks
  • C.O.Meyer & C.De Franco

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