Seasonal to decadal predictions of arctic sea ice : challenges and strategies
著者
書誌事項
Seasonal to decadal predictions of arctic sea ice : challenges and strategies
National Academies Press, c2012
大学図書館所蔵 件 / 全1件
-
該当する所蔵館はありません
- すべての絞り込み条件を解除する
注記
Includes bibliographical references
National Aeronautics and Space Administration grant number: NNX11AJ41G
Office of Naval Research contract number: N00014-10-0589/0006
内容説明・目次
内容説明
Recent well documented reductions in the thickness and extent of Arctic sea ice cover, which can be linked to the warming climate, are affecting the global climate system and are also affecting the global economic system as marine access to the Arctic region and natural resource development increase. Satellite data show that during each of the past six summers, sea ice cover has shrunk to its smallest in three decades. The composition of the ice is also changing, now containing a higher fraction of thin first-year ice instead of thicker multi-year ice.
Understanding and projecting future sea ice conditions is important to a growing number of stakeholders, including local populations, natural resource industries, fishing communities, commercial shippers, marine tourism operators, national security organizations, regulatory agencies, and the scientific research community. However, gaps in understanding the interactions between Arctic sea ice, oceans, and the atmosphere, along with an increasing rate of change in the nature and quantity of sea ice, is hampering accurate predictions. Although modeling has steadily improved, projections by every major modeling group failed to predict the record breaking drop in summer sea ice extent in September 2012.
Establishing sustained communication between the user, modeling, and observation communities could help reveal gaps in understanding, help balance the needs and expectations of different stakeholders, and ensure that resources are allocated to address the most pressing sea ice data needs. Seasonal-to-Decadal Predictions of Arctic Sea Ice: Challenges and Strategies explores these topics.
Table of Contents
Front Matter
Summary
1 Introduction
2 Gaps in Our Understanding
3 Strategies for the Future
4 Conclusion
References
Appendixes
Appendix A: Summary of Recent and Evolving Arctic Sea Ice
Predictability Efforts
Appendix B: Workshop Information
Appendix C: Summaries of Workshop Panels and Breakout Discussions
Appendix D: Committee and Staff Biographical Sketches
目次
- 1 Front Matter
- 2 Summary
- 3 1 Introduction
- 4 2 Gaps in Our Understanding
- 5 3 Strategies for the Future
- 6 4 Conclusion
- 7 References
- 8 Appendixes
- 9 Appendix A: Summary of Recent and Evolving Arctic Sea Ice Predictability Efforts
- 10 Appendix B: Workshop Information
- 11 Appendix C: Summaries of Workshop Panels and Breakout Discussions
- 12 Appendix D: Committee and Staff Biographical Sketches
「Nielsen BookData」 より