A practitioner's guide to state and local population projections
Author(s)
Bibliographic Information
A practitioner's guide to state and local population projections
(The Springer series on demographic methods and population, 37)
Springer, c2013
Available at 2 libraries
  Aomori
  Iwate
  Miyagi
  Akita
  Yamagata
  Fukushima
  Ibaraki
  Tochigi
  Gunma
  Saitama
  Chiba
  Tokyo
  Kanagawa
  Niigata
  Toyama
  Ishikawa
  Fukui
  Yamanashi
  Nagano
  Gifu
  Shizuoka
  Aichi
  Mie
  Shiga
  Kyoto
  Osaka
  Hyogo
  Nara
  Wakayama
  Tottori
  Shimane
  Okayama
  Hiroshima
  Yamaguchi
  Tokushima
  Kagawa
  Ehime
  Kochi
  Fukuoka
  Saga
  Nagasaki
  Kumamoto
  Oita
  Miyazaki
  Kagoshima
  Okinawa
  Korea
  China
  Thailand
  United Kingdom
  Germany
  Switzerland
  France
  Belgium
  Netherlands
  Sweden
  Norway
  United States of America
Note
Includes bibliographical references and index
Description and Table of Contents
Description
This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques for four types of projection methods: cohort-component, trend extrapolation, structural models, and microsimulation. It covers the components of population growth, sources of data, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection methods and pays special attention to the unique problems that characterize small-area projections. The authors provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, market analysts, and others called on to construct state and local population projections. They use many examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data. They describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to another, for interpolating between time points, for sub-dividing age groups, and for constructing projections of population-related variables (e.g., school enrollment, households). They discuss the role of judgment and the importance of the political context in which projections are made. They emphasize the "utility" of projections, or their usefulness for decision making in a world of competing demands and limited resources. This comprehensive book will provide readers with an understanding not only of the mechanics of the most commonly used population projection methods, but also of the many complex issues affecting their construction, interpretation, evaluation, and use.
Table of Contents
Chapter 1: Rationale, Terminology, Scope.- Chapter 2: Fundamental of Population Analysis.- Chapter 3: Overview of the Cohort-Component Method.- Chapter 4: Mortality.- Chapter 5: fertility.- Chapter 6: Migration.- Chapter 7: Implementing the Cohort-Component Method.- Chapter 8: Extrapolation Methods.- Chapter 9: Structural and Microsimulation Models.- Chapter 10: Special Adjustments.- Chapter 11: Related Projections.- Chapter 12: Evaluating Projections.- Chapter 13 Forecast Accuracy and Bias.- Chapter 14: A Practical Guide to Small-Area Projections.- Epilogues: Some Final Thoughts.- Glossary.- Index.
by "Nielsen BookData"