Household and living arrangement projections : the extended cohort-component method and applications to the U.S and China
著者
書誌事項
Household and living arrangement projections : the extended cohort-component method and applications to the U.S and China
(The Springer series on demographic methods and population, 36)
Springer, c2014
大学図書館所蔵 全1件
  青森
  岩手
  宮城
  秋田
  山形
  福島
  茨城
  栃木
  群馬
  埼玉
  千葉
  東京
  神奈川
  新潟
  富山
  石川
  福井
  山梨
  長野
  岐阜
  静岡
  愛知
  三重
  滋賀
  京都
  大阪
  兵庫
  奈良
  和歌山
  鳥取
  島根
  岡山
  広島
  山口
  徳島
  香川
  愛媛
  高知
  福岡
  佐賀
  長崎
  熊本
  大分
  宮崎
  鹿児島
  沖縄
  韓国
  中国
  タイ
  イギリス
  ドイツ
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注記
Includes bibliographical references and index
内容説明・目次
内容説明
This book presents an innovative demographic toolkit known as the ProFamy extended cohort-component method for the projection of household structures and living arrangements with empirical applications to the United States, the largest developed country, and China, the largest developing country. The ProFamy method uses demographic rates as inputs to project detailed distributions of household types and sizes, living arrangements of all household members, and population by age, sex, race/ethnicity, and urban/rural residence at national, sub-national, or small area levels. It can also project elderly care needs and costs, pension deficits, and household consumption. The ProFamy method presented herein has substantial merits compared to the traditional headship rate method, which is not linked to demographic rates and projects limited household types without other household members than "heads".
The book consists of four parts. The first part presents the methodology, data, estimation issues, and empirical assessments. The next parts present applications in the United States (part two) and China (part three), concerning demographic, social, economic, and business research; policy analysis, including forecasting future trends of household type/size, elderly living arrangements, disability, and home-based care costs, and household consumption including housing and vehicles. The fourth part includes a user's guide for the ProFamy software to project households, living arrangements, and home-based consumptions.
This book offers an invaluable toolkit for researchers, analysts and students in academic, public and private businesses, whose work is related to levels and rates of change in households, population and consumption patterns.
目次
Preface.- Acknowledgement.- Chapter 1 INTRODUCTION.- Part I: METHODOLOGY, DATA, AND ASSESSMENTS.: CHAPTER 2 PROFAMY: THE EXTENDED COHORT-COMPONENT METHOD FOR HOUSEHOLD AND LIVING ARRANGEMENT PROJECTIONS.- Chapter 3 DATA NEEDS AND ESTIMATION PROCEDURES.- Chapter 4 EMPIRICAL ASSESSMENTS AND A COMPARISON WITH THE HEADSHIP RATE METHOD.- Chapter 5 EXTENSION OF ProFamy MODEL TO PROJECT ELDERLY DISABILITY STATUS AND HOME-BASED CARE COSTS, WITH AN ILLUSTRATIVE APPLICATION.- Chapter 6 HOUSEHOLD AND LIVING ARRANGEMENT PROJECTIONS AT THE SMALL AREA LEVEL.- Chapter 7 A SIMPLE METHOD FOR PROJECTING PENSION DEFICIT RATES AND AN ILLUSTRATIVE APPLICATION.- Part II: APPLICATIONS IN THE UNITED STATES: Chapter 8 U.S. FAMILY HOUSEHOLD MOMENTUM AND DYNAMICS: PROJECTIONS AT THE NATONAL LEVEL.- Chapter 9 HOUSEHOLD AND LIVING ARRANGEMENT PROJECTIONS FOR THE 50 STATES, WASHINGTON DC, AND RELATIVELY LARGE COUNTIES IN THE U.S..- Chapter 10 EFFECTS OF CHANGES IN HOUSEHOLD STRUCTURE AND LIVING ARRANGEMENTS ON FUTURE HOME-BASED CARE COSTS FOR DISABLED ELDERS IN THE UNITED STATES.- Chapter 11 PROJECTIONS OF HOUSEHOLD VEHICLE CONSUMPTION IN THE UNITED STATES.- Part III: APPLICATIONS IN CHINA.: Chapter 12 HOUSEHOLD AND LIVING ARRANGEMENT PROJECTIONS IN CHINA AT THE NATIONAL LEVEL.- Chapter 13 DYNAMICS OF HOUSEHOLDS AND LIVING ARRANGEMENTS IN THE EASTERN, MIDDLE, AND WESTERN REGIONS OF CHINA.- Chapter 14 APPLICATION OF HOUSEHOLD AND LIVING ARRANGEMENT PROJECTIONS TO POLICY ANALYSIS IN CHINA.- Chapter 15 HOUSEHOLD HOUSING DEMAND PROJECTIONS FOR HEBEI PROVINCE OF CHINA .- Part IV: PROFAMY (VERSION 2.1): A SOFTWARE FOR HOUSEHOLD AND CONSUMPTION FORECASTING: USER'S GUIDE.- Chapter 16 SETTING UP THE PROJECTION MODEL.- Chapter 17 PREPARING INPUT DATA, COMPUTING, AND MANAGING OUTPUT.- Chapter 18 EPILOGUE: SUMMARY AND FUTURE PERSPECTIVES.
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