Change and continuity in the 2012 and 2014 elections

著者

書誌事項

Change and continuity in the 2012 and 2014 elections

Paul R. Abramson ... [et al.]

CQ Press, Sage, c2016

タイトル別名

Change and continuity in the 2012 & 2014 elections

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注記

Includes bibliographical references (p. 433-447) and index

内容説明・目次

内容説明

Since its first edition in 1982, Change and Continuity has been known for offering the best analysis and explanation of voting behaviour in recent elections and setting those results in the context of larger trends and patterns in elections studies. Year after year, the top-notch author team meticulously and accessibly explains and displays the National Election Studies data and analyzes its impact while making use of the most recent scholarship. This edition covers the 2012 presidential and congressional elections and includes an all-new chapter on the 2014 mid-term election. It examines the social forces, party loyalties, and prominent issues that affected voting behaviour, and offers conclusions about what the results mean for the future of American politics.

目次

Chapter 1: The Nomination Struggle Who Ran The Rules of the Nomination System The Dynamics of Multicandidate Campaigns Chapter 2: The General Election Campaign The Strategic Context and Candidates' Choices Political Context, Overall Strategy, and Opening Moves From the Conventions to the Debates The End Game and the Struggle over Turnout Did the Campaign Make a Difference? Chapter 3: The Election Results The Election Rules The Pattern of Results State-by-State Results Electoral Change in the Postwar South The Electoral Vote Balance Chapter 4: Who Voted? Voter Turnout, 1789-1916 Voter Turnout, 1920-2012 Voter Turnout among Social Groups Changes in Turnout after 1960 Election-Specific Factors Does Low Voter Turnout Matter? Chapter 5: Social Forces and the Vote How Social Groups Voted in 2012 How Social Groups Voted during the Postwar Years Why the New Deal Coalition Broke Down Chapter 6: Candidates, Issues, and the Vote Attitudes toward the Candidates Prospective Evaluations Issue Positions and Perceptions Issue Voting Criteria Apparent Issue Voting in 2012 Conclusion Chapter 7: Presidential Performance and Candidate Choice What Is Retrospective Voting? Evaluations of Government Performance on Important Problems Economic Evaluations and the Vote for the Incumbent Foreign Policy Evaluations and the Vote for the Incumbent Evaluations of the Incumbent The Impact of Retrospective Evaluations Conclusion Chapter 8: Party Loyalties, Policy Preferences, and the Vote Party Identification: The Original View Party Identification: An Alternative View Party Identification in the Electorate Hispanic Partisanship in 2008 and 2012 Party Identification and the Vote Policy Preferences and Performance Evaluations Conclusion Chapter 9: Candidates and Outcomes in 2012 Election Outcomes in 2012 Candidates' Resources and Election Outcomes The 2012 Elections: The Impact on Congress The 2014 Elections and Beyond Chapter 10: The Congressional Electorate in 2012 Social Forces and the Congressional Vote Issues and the Congressional Vote Party Identification and the Congressional Vote Incumbency and the Congressional Vote The Congressional Vote as Referendum Presidential Coattails and the Congressional Vote Conclusion Chapter 11: The 2014 Congressional Elections The Pattern of Outcomes Assessing Victory and Explaining the Results National and Local Influences in Congressional Elections The 2014 Elections: The Impact on Congress The 2016 Elections and Beyond Chapter 12: The 2012 and 2014 Elections and the Future of American Politics Are Midterm Elections Predictive? Prospects for the Democrats Prospects for the Republicans Chapter 13: The Dynamics of American Elections The Great Continuities: The Electoral System and the Party System The Great Change: Depolarization and the Return of Partisan Polarization Change and Continuity in Turnout Continuities in Electoral Partisanship Changes in the Partisan Electorate Change and Continuity in the U.S. Congress

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