Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis in archaeological computational modeling
著者
書誌事項
Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis in archaeological computational modeling
（Interdisciplinary contributions to archaeology）
Springer International Publishing, c2016
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注記
Includes bibliographical references and index
内容説明・目次
内容説明
This
volume deals with the pressing issue of uncertainty in archaeological modeling.
Detecting where and when uncertainty is introduced to the modeling process is
critical, as are strategies for minimizing, reconciling, or accommodating such
uncertainty. Included chapters provide unique perspectives on uncertainty in
archaeological modeling, ranging in both theoretical and methodological
orientation. The strengths and weaknesses of various identification and
mitigation techniques are discussed, in particular sensitivity analysis. The
chapters demonstrate that for archaeological modeling purposes, there is no
quick fix for uncertainty; indeed, each archaeological model requires intensive
consideration of uncertainty and specific applications for calibration and
validation. As very few such techniques have been problematized in a systematic
manner or published in the archaeological literature, this volume aims to
provide guidance and direction to other modelers in the field by distilling
some basic principles for model testing derived from insight gathered in the
case studies presented. Additionally, model applications and their attendant
uncertainties are presented from distinct spatio-temporal contexts and will
appeal to a broad range of archaeological modelers. This volume will also be of
interest to non-modeling archaeologists, as consideration of uncertainty when
interpreting the archaeological record is also a vital concern for the
development of non-formal (or implicit) models of human behavior in the past.
目次
Preface.- Chapter 1:Introduction (Marieka
Brouwer Burg, J.H.M. Peeters, and William A. Lovis).- Chapter 2: Is
There a Research Design Role for Sensitivity Analysis (SA) in Archaeological Modeling? (William
A. Lovis).- Chapter 3: Epistemic
Considerations About Uncertainty and Model Selection in Computational
Archaeology: A Case Study on Exploratory Modeling (J.H.M. Peeters and Jan-Willem Romeijn).- Chapter 4: GIS-Based
Modeling of Archaeological Dynamics (GMAD): Weaknesses, Strengths, and the
Utility of Sensitivity Analysis (Marieka Brouwer Burg).- Chapter 5: Assessing Nonlinear Behaviors in an
Agent Based Model (Jon W. Carroll).- Chapter 6: Scale
Dependency in Agent-Based Modeling: How Many Time Steps? How Many Simulations?
How Many Agents? (Joshua Watts).- Chapter 7: The
Sensitivity of Demographic Characteristics to the Strength of the Population
Stabilizing Mechanism in a Model Hunter-Gatherer System (Andrew A. White).- Chapter 8: Archaeological
Simulation and the Testing Paradigm (Thomas G. Whitley).- Chapter 9: "Uncertainties" (Sander van der Leeuw).
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