Uncertainty, threat, and international security : implications for Southeast Asia

書誌事項

Uncertainty, threat, and international security : implications for Southeast Asia

Ivan Savic and Zachary C. Shirkey

(Rethinking Asia and international relations / series editor, Emilian Kavalski)

Routledge, 2017

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注記

Includes bibliographical references (p. [150]-163) and index

内容説明・目次

内容説明

The rise of China is changing the strategic landscape globally and regionally. How states respond to potential threats posed by this new power arrangement will be crucial to international relations for the coming decades. This book builds on existing realist and rationalist concepts of balancing, bandwagoning, commitment problems, and asymmetric information to craft explanations about how states respond when faced with potential threats. Specifically, the book explores the role different types of uncertainty play in potential balancing situations. Particular focus is given to the nature of the rising state's actions, the balance of forces, and the value of delay. These concepts are analysed and illustrated through a series of case studies on Europe in the 1930s as well as the present-day Southeast Asia, looking at great powers such as Britain and France, but also a wide range of smaller powers including Poland, Yugoslavia, Vietnam, and the Philippines.

目次

Introduction-Threats and the Challenges of Uncertainty Chapter 1-Balancing as a Commitment Problem Chapter 2-Balancing and Buck-Passing: A Dynamic Model with Uncertainty Chapter 3-Balancing and Buck-Passing: Western Europe in the 1930s Chapter 4-To Bandwagon or Hide: A Theoretical Examination of the Alternatives to Balancing Chapter 5-To Bandwagon or Hide: East Central Europe before World War Two Chapter 6-Balancing and Bandwagoning by Other Means: How the Outbreak of War Affects States' Responses to Threats Chapter 7-The Rise of China: Will States Balance, Bandwagon, or Hedge in the South China Sea Today? Conclusion

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