The Palgrave handbook of government budget forecasting
著者
書誌事項
The Palgrave handbook of government budget forecasting
（Palgrave studies in public debt, spending, and revenue）（Palgrave handbooks）
Palgrave Macmillan, c2019
大学図書館所蔵 件 / 全4件
-
該当する所蔵館はありません
- すべての絞り込み条件を解除する
注記
Includes bibliographical references and index
"This Palgrave Macmillan imprint is published by the registered company Springer Nature Switzerland AG ... Cham, Switzerland"--T.p. verso
内容説明・目次
内容説明
This Handbook is a comprehensive anthology of up-to-date chapters contributed by current researchers in budget forecasting. Editors Daniel Williams and Thad Calabrese had previously found substantial deficiencies in public budgeting forecast literature with current research failing to address such matters as practices related to forecasting expenditure factors, the consequences of forecast bias, or empirical examination of the effectiveness of many deterministic methods actually used by many governments. This volume comprehensively addresses the state of knowledge about budget forecasting for practitioners, academics, and students and serves as a comprehensive resource for instruction alongside serving as a reference book for those engaged in budget forecasting practice.
目次
1. Introduction- Daniel Williams and Thad Calabrese Part I: International and National 2. Macroeconomic Theory & Forecasting- Gerald D. Cohen 3. Budget Preparation and Forecasting in the Federal Republic of Germany- Doerte Busch and Wolfgang Strehl 4. Revenue Forecasting in Low-Income and Developing Countries: Biases and Potential Remedies- Marco Cangiano and Rahul Pathak 5. Evaluation of Budget Forecasts- Neil R. Ericcson and Andrew B. Martinez 6. The Reliability of Long-Run Budget Projections- Rudolph Penner 7. CBO Updated Forecasts: Do a Few Months Matter?- James W. Douglas and Ringa Raudla Part II: State and Local 8. State Revenue Forecasting Practices: Accuracy, Transparency, and Political Participation- Emily Franklin, Carolyn Bourdeaux, and Alex Hathaway 9. Modeling and Forecasting State Tax Revenue since the Great Recession- Melissa McShea and Joseph Cordes 10. Bias Associated with Centrally Budgeted Expenditure Forecasts- Thad Calabrese and Daniel W. Williams 11. Excessive Revenue Underforecasting: Evidence and Implications from New York City's Property Tax- Geoffrey Propheter 12. Small Local Government Revenue Forecasting- Vincent Reitano 13. Current Midyear Municipal Budget Forecast Accuracy- Daniel W. Williams and Thad Calabrese Part III: Subject Matter Specialties 14. Using Fiscal Indicator Systems to Predict Municipal Bankruptcies- Jonathan B. Justice, Marc Fudge, Helisse Levine, David D. Bird, and Muhammad Naveed Iftikhar 15. School District Enrollment Projections and Budget Forecasting- Peter Jones, Carl Rakow, and Vincent Reitano 16. Budget Uncertainty and the Quality of Nonprofit Charter School Enrollment Projections- Todd L. Ely 17. Forecasting for Prisons and Jails- Bruce D. McDonald III, J. Winn Decker, and Mathew Hunt 18. Government and Nonprofit Personnel Forecasting- Vincent Reitano 19. Forecast Bias and Capital Reserves Accumulation- Vincent Reitano, Peter Jones, Nathan Barrett, and Jacob Fowles 20. Consensus Forecasting- J. Winn Decker and Bruce D. McDonald, III 21. Ensemble Forecasting- Kenneth Kriz Part IV: Conclusion 22. Conclusion- Daniel Williams and Thad Calabrese
「Nielsen BookData」 より