Bibliographic Information

El Niño southern oscillation in a changing climate

editors, Michael J. McPhaden, Agus Santoso, Wenju Cai

(Geophysical monograph, 253)

Wiley , American Geophysical Union, 2021

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"This Work is a co-publication of the American Geophysical Union and John Wiley and Sons, Inc."--T.p. verso

Includes bibliographical references and indexes

Description and Table of Contents

Description

Comprehensive and up-to-date information on Earth's most dominant year-to-year climate variation The El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the Pacific Ocean has major worldwide social and economic consequences through its global scale effects on atmospheric and oceanic circulation, marine and terrestrial ecosystems, and other natural systems. Ongoing climate change is projected to significantly alter ENSO's dynamics and impacts. El Nino Southern Oscillation in a Changing Climate presents the latest theories, models, and observations, and explores the challenges of forecasting ENSO as the climate continues to change. Volume highlights include: Historical background on ENSO and its societal consequences Review of key El Nino (ENSO warm phase) and La Nina (ENSO cold phase) characteristics Mathematical description of the underlying physical processes that generate ENSO variations Conceptual framework for understanding ENSO changes on decadal and longer time scales, including the response to greenhouse gas forcing ENSO impacts on extreme ocean, weather, and climate events, including tropical cyclones, and how ENSO affects fisheries and the global carbon cycle Advances in modeling, paleo-reconstructions, and operational climate forecasting Future projections of ENSO and its impacts Factors influencing ENSO events, such as inter-basin climate interactions and volcanic eruptions The American Geophysical Union promotes discovery in Earth and space science for the benefit of humanity. Its publications disseminate scientific knowledge and provide resources for researchers, students, and professionals. Find out more about this book from this Q&A with the editors.

Table of Contents

List of Contributors vii Acknowledgments xiii Preface xv Section I: Introduction 1. Introduction to El Nino Southern Oscillation in a Changing Climate 3 Michael J. McPhaden, Agus Santoso, and Wenju Cai 2. ENSO in the Global Climate System 21 Kevin E. Trenberth Section II: Observations 3. ENSO Observations 41 Michael J. McPhaden, Tong Lee, Severine Fournier, and Magdalena A. Balmaseda 4. ENSO Diversity 65 Antonietta Capotondi, Andrew T. Wittenberg, Jong-Seong Kug, Ken Takahashi, and Michael J. McPhaden 5. Past ENSO Variability: Reconstructions, Models, and Implications 87 Julien Emile-Geay, Kim M. Cobb, Julia E. Cole, Mary Elliot, and Feng Zhu Section III: Theories and Dynamics 6. Simple ENSO Models 121 Fei-Fei Jin, Han-Ching Chen, Sen Zhao, Michiya Hayashi, Christina Karamperidou, Malte F. Stuecker, Ruihuang Xie, and Licheng Geng 7. ENSO Irregularity and Asymmetry 153 Soon-Il An, Eli Tziperman, Yuko M. Okumura, and Tim Li 8. ENSO Low-frequency Modulation and Mean State Interactions 173 Alexey V. Fedorov, Shineng Hu, Andrew T. Wittenberg, Aaron F. Z. Levine, and Clara Deser Section IV: Modeling and Prediction 9. ENSO Modelling: History, Progress and Challenges 201 Eric Guilyardi, Antonietta Capotondi, Matthieu Lengaigne, Sulian Thual, and Andrew T. Wittenberg 10. ENSO Prediction 227 Michelle L. L'Heureux, Aaron F. Z. Levine, Matthew Newman, Catherine Ganter, Jing-Jia Luo, Michael K. Tippett, and Timothy N. Stockdale Section V: Remote and External Forcing 11. ENSO Remote Forcing: Influence of Climate Variability Outside the Tropical Pacific 249 Jong-Seong Kug, Jerome Vialard, Yoo-Geun Ham, Jin-Yi Yu, and Matthieu Lengaigne 12. The Effect of Strong Volcanic Eruptions on ENSO 267 Shayne McGregor, Myriam Khodri, Nicola Maher, Masamichi Ohba, Francesco S. R. Pausata, and Samantha Stevenson 13. ENSO Response to Greenhouse Forcing 289 Wenju Cai, Agus Santoso, Guojian Wang, Lixin Wu, Mat Collins, Matthieu Lengaigne, Scott Power, and Axel Timmermann Section VI: Teleconnections and Impacts 14. ENSO Atmospheric Teleconnections 311 Andrea S. Taschetto, Caroline C. Ummenhofer, Malte F. Stuecker, Dietmar Dommenget, Karumuri Ashok, Regina R. Rodrigues, and Sang-Wook Yeh 15. ENSO Oceanic Teleconnections 337 Janet Sprintall, Sophie Cravatte, Boris Dewitte, Yan Du, and Alexander Sen Gupta 16. Impact of El Nino on Weather and Climate Extremes 361 Lisa Goddard and Alexander Gershunov 17. ENSO and Tropical Cyclones 377 I-I Lin, Suzana J. Camargo, Christina M. Patricola, Julien Boucharel, Savin Chand, Phil Klotzbach, Johnny C. L. Chan, Bin Wang, Ping Chang, Tim Li, and Fei-Fei Jin 18. ENSO-Driven Ocean Extremes and Their Ecosystem Impacts 409 Neil J. Holbrook, Danielle C. Claar, Alistair J. Hobday, Kathleen L. McInnes, Eric C. J. Oliver, Alex Sen Gupta, Matthew J. Widlansky, and Xuebin Zhang 19. ENSO Impact on Marine Fisheries and Ecosystems 429 Patrick Lehodey, Arnaud Bertrand, Alistair J. Hobday, Hidetada Kiyofuji, Sam McClatchie, Christophe E. Menkes, Graham Pilling, Jeffrey Polovina, and Desiree Tommasi 20. ENSO and the Carbon Cycle 453 Richard A. Betts, Chantelle A. Burton, Richard A. Feely, Mat Collins, Chris D. Jones, and Andy J. Wiltshire Section VII: Closing 21. ENSO in a Changing Climate: Challenges, Paleo-Perspectives, and Outlook Christina Karamperidou, Malte F. Stuecker, Axel Timmermann, Kyung-Sook Yun, Sun-Seon Lee, Fei-Fei Jin, Agus Santoso, Michael J. McPhaden, and Wenju Cai Glossary 485 Index 491

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