Hypothetical thinking : dual processes in reasoning and judgement
著者
書誌事項
Hypothetical thinking : dual processes in reasoning and judgement
(Psychology press and Routledge classic editions)
Routledge, 2020
Classic ed
- : pbk
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注記
Includes bibliographical references and index
"First edition published 2007 by Psychology Press"--T.p. verso
内容説明・目次
内容説明
Hypothetical thought involves the imagination of possibilities and the exploration of their consequences by a process of mental simulation. In this Classic Edition, Jonathan St B. T. Evans presents his pioneering hypothetical thinking theory; an integrated theoretical account of a wide range of psychological studies on hypothesis testing, reasoning, judgement and decision making.
Hypothetical thinking theory is built on three key principles and implemented in a version of Evans' well-known heuristic-analytic theory of reasoning. The central claim of this book is that this theory can provide an integrated account of apparently diverse phenomena including confirmation bias in hypothesis testing, acceptance of fallacies in deductive reasoning, belief biases in reasoning and judgement, biases of statistical judgement and numerous characteristic findings in the study of decision making.
Featuring a reflective and insightful new introduction to the book, this Classic Edition discusses contemporary theory on cognitive biases, human rationality and dual-process theories of higher cognition. It will be of great interest to researchers, post graduates as well as advanced undergraduate students.
目次
Foreword to the Classic Edition
1. Introduction and theoretical framework.
2. Hypothesis testing.
3. Suppositional reasoning: if and or.
4. The role of knowledge and belief in reasoning.
5. Dual processes in judgement and decision making.
6. Thinking about chance and probability.
7. Broader issues.
References
Author Index
Subject Index
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