Forecasting economic time series
著者
書誌事項
Forecasting economic time series
(Economic theory, econometrics, and mathematical economics)
Academic Press, c1986
2nd ed
- : pbk
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注記
Includes bibliographical references (p. 317-330) and indexes
内容説明・目次
内容説明
This thoroughly revised second edition of an upper-level undergraduate/graduate text describes many major techniques of forecasting used in economics and business. This is the only time series book to concentrate on the forecasting of economic data and to cover such a broad range of topics. Its key features are: gives a complete description, with applications, of the Box-Jenkins single series modeling techniques; extends the Box-Jenkins techniques to multivariate cases; compares forecasts from purely statistical and econometric models; pays careful attention to such problems as how to evaluate and compare forecasts; covers nonstationary and nonlinear models, co-integration and error-correction models.
目次
Basic Concepts of Forecasting. Trend-Line Fitting and Forecasting. Forecasting From Time Series Models. Further Aspects of Time Series Forecasting. Regression Methods and Economic Models. Survey Data: Anticipations and Expectations. Leading Indicators. Evaluation and Combination of Forecasting. Population Forecasting. Technological Forecasting. World Models. Tech
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