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Thirlwall's law at 40

edited by Thomas Palley, Matías Vernengo, Esteban Pérez Caldentey

Edward Elgar Publishing, 2021

  • : hbk

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内容説明・目次

内容説明

2019 marked the 40th anniversary of the publication of Anthony P. Thirlwall's classic paper that laid out what became known as Thirlwall''s law. This article introduced and provided empirical evidence in favor of the proposition that the long-run rate of growth of an economy compatible with balance-of-payments equilibrium can be approximated by the simple rule of the ratio of the growth of exports to the income elasticity of demand for imports. Thirlwall's law provides a theoretical underpinning for several of the arguments traditionally espoused by the heterodox followers of Keynes. In addition, Thirlwall's law can also be viewed as a guide to policy-making. It has spurred a rich research agenda at both the theoretical and empirical levels. Theoretically the core model has been extended to include the different components of the current account of the balance of payments. Empirically, it has withstood the test of time and has been corroborated, with perhaps a few exceptions, for a variety of developed and developing countries under different historical contexts and different periods of time. This re-release of the special issue of the Review of Keynesian Economics brings together experts and researchers to present the latest developments and debates on Thirlwall's law. Students, economists and policy makers will find this volume enlightening.

目次

Contents: Symposium: Thirlwall's Law at 40 Thirlwall's law at 40 1 Esteban Perez Caldentey and Matias Vernengo Why Thirlwall's law is not a tautology: more on the debate over the law 3 J.S.L. McCombie Endogenous growth, capital accumulation and Thirlwall's dynamics: the case of Latin America 18 Ignacio Perrotini-Hernandez and Juan Alberto Vazquez-Munoz Thirlwall's law and the terms of trade: a parsimonious extension of the balance-of-payments-constrained growth model 37 Esteban Perez Caldentey and Juan Carlos Moreno-Brid Thirlwall's law, external debt sustainability, and the balance-ofpayments- constrained level and growth rates of output 60 Gustavo Bhering, Franklin Serrano and Fabio Freitas Growth transitions and the balance-of-payments constraint 72 Excellent Mhlongo and Kevin S. Nell New Structuralism and the balance-of-payments constraint 91 Gabriel Porcile and Giuliano Toshiro Yajima Is Indonesia's growth rate balance-of-payments-constrained? A timevarying estimation approach 111 Jesus Felipe, Matteo Lanzafame and Gemma Estrada Thoughts on balance-of-payments-constrained growth after 40 years 128 A.P. Thirlwall

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